650
FXUS64 KLZK 090523 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1223 AM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 110 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE STATE EARLY THIS FRI
MORNING. HOWEVER...SOME PATCHY/ISOLATED POCKETS OF RAIN WERE NOTED
DROPPING SOUTH OVER ERN AND EVEN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AR. THIS
ACTIVITY IS RESULT OF A VERY WEAK UPPER WAVE DIVING SOUTH AROUND THE
ERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST. EXPECT THIS POTENTIAL
FOR SOME VERY ISOLATED SHRA TO CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HRS...WITH SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS MENTIONED AS A RESULT.
ANOTHER WEAK UPPER WAVE MAY DIVE SOUTH ALONG THE MS RIVER THIS FRI
AFTERNOON...WHICH COULD TRIGGER MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER..THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY EAST OF THE
CWA...KEEPING SILENT POPS DUE TO THE FAIRLY LOW CONFIDENCE.
OTHERWISE...EXPECTING ANOTHER TYPICAL SUMMER DAY THIS FRI...WITH
TEMPS AROUND OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL. DEWPTS MAY MIX OUT ENOUGH TO KEEP
MOST AREAS JUST BELOW HEAT ADV CRITERIA. HOWEVER...KEEP THE SAME
AREAL COVERAGE OF CURRENT HEAT ADV FOR WRN SECTIONS ALONG THE AR
RIVER VALLEY AS THIS AREA HAS BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEEING HEAT INDEX
VALUES EXCEEDING 105 THIS AFTERNOON. THIS MAY BE A REPEAT FOR SAT AS
WELL.
THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED TO THE WEST OF AR LATE THIS WEEK WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SHIFT FURTHER WEST OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
CHANCES FOR CONVECTION INCREASING SLIGHTLY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE TO
THE SE MOVES CLOSER TO AR. BY THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT
WEEK...AR AND THE MID-SOUTH WILL BE UNDER A WEAK UPPER TROUGH...WITH
CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION INCREASING AS A
RESULT. TEMPS WILL COOL SLIGHTLY ALSO FOR HIGHS...BUT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK TO ALSO INCREASE SOME. THIS MAY KEEP HEAT INDEX
VALUES ELEVATED AROUND 100 EACH AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...NO MAJOR
SYSTEMS OR FRONTS WILL BRING ORGANIZED CONVECTION THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST...JUST MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON
CONVECTION POSSIBLE EACH DAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1221 AM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
EXPECT DOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 72 95 71 94 / 0 10 10 30
CAMDEN AR 72 94 72 92 / 0 10 10 50
HARRISON AR 72 93 71 91 / 0 20 10 40
HOT SPRINGS AR 73 97 73 94 / 0 10 10 50
LITTLE ROCK AR 74 94 74 92 / 0 10 0 40
MONTICELLO AR 73 94 73 93 / 0 20 10 40
MOUNT IDA AR 73 95 72 92 / 0 10 0 40
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 72 93 71 91 / 0 20 0 40
NEWPORT AR 72 93 72 93 / 0 10 10 30
PINE BLUFF AR 72 94 72 93 / 0 10 10 40
RUSSELLVILLE AR 75 97 74 96 / 0 10 10 30
SEARCY AR 71 95 71 94 / 0 10 10 40
STUTTGART AR 73 93 73 93 / 0 10 10 30
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ARZ031-032-039-042>044-121-122-130-138-230-238.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62
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