282
FXUS64 KLZK 100434 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1134 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 133 AM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
WARM BUT MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE CWA EARLY
THIS SAT MORNING...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT SERLY WINDS NOTED.
TEMPS WERE IN THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S AS OF THE 1AM HR. REGIONAL
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED SOME SCATTERED SHRA FROM NERN OK INTO SWRN
MO...ACTIVITY MAINLY DROPPING SSW ALONG THE NERN PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER RIDGE CENTERED TO THE SW. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF
THE CWA...BUT HAVE MENTIONED SOME VERY LOW END POPS ACROSS THE
WRN/SWRN COUNTIES FOR SOME SPOTTY RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING.
THIS SAT WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO FRI...WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW 90S
TO JUST OVER 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL ALSO BE SIMILAR...THOUGH
SOME INCREASE MOISTURE MAY BRING THE NEED FOR THE HEAT ADV FURTHER
EAST INTO CENTRAL SECTIONS. HAVE THE HEAT ADV IN PLACE FOR MAINLY
THE AR RIVER VALLEY REGION INTO CENTRAL AR...INCLUDING THE LITTLE
ROCK METRO AND THE HOT SPRINGS AREA. THESE AREAS WILL BE MOST LIKELY
TO SEE PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 105 TO NEARLY 110 THIS
AFTERNOON. NOT PLANNING ON EXTENDING THIS ADV INTO SUN AT THIS TIME
AS THERE IS A BIT MORE UNCERTAINTY ON WHERE HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL
BE HIGHEST. CHANCES FOR RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY
MINIMAL...OUTSIDE OF A STRAY SHRA OR TSRA.
THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED TO THE SW OF AR LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SHIFT FURTHER
WEST BY LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THEN DURING THE
EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK...AR AND THE MID-SOUTH WILL BE
UNDER A WEAK UPPER TROUGH...WITH CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON DIURNALLY
DRIVEN CONVECTION INCREASING EACH DAY AS A RESULT. TEMPS WILL COOL
SLIGHTLY ALSO FOR HIGHS...BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK TO ALSO
INCREASE SOME. THIS MAY KEEP HEAT INDEX VALUES ELEVATED AROUND 100
EACH AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...NO MAJOR SYSTEMS OR FRONTS WILL BRING
ORGANIZED CONVECTION THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST...JUST MORE
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION POSSIBLE EACH
DAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1131 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
EXPECT DOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD ONCE
AGAIN. HOWEVER...SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY BE
SEEN...INITIALLY AT THE NWRN TERMINALS SUN MORNING. THEN...THERE
COULD BE SOME ISOLATED POP-UP TYPE CONVECTION SUN AFTERNOON
FURTHER SOUTH. POTENTIAL/COVERAGE TOO LIMITED TO MENTION AT MOST
SITES HOWEVER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 72 94 72 93 / 0 20 10 20
CAMDEN AR 72 94 72 92 / 10 20 20 30
HARRISON AR 72 92 71 91 / 0 40 10 30
HOT SPRINGS AR 74 96 74 94 / 0 20 10 30
LITTLE ROCK AR 74 94 74 93 / 0 20 20 20
MONTICELLO AR 73 95 74 93 / 0 20 10 30
MOUNT IDA AR 73 95 72 93 / 0 20 10 30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 72 92 71 92 / 0 40 10 30
NEWPORT AR 72 93 73 93 / 0 20 10 20
PINE BLUFF AR 72 94 73 93 / 0 20 20 20
RUSSELLVILLE AR 77 97 75 96 / 0 20 10 20
SEARCY AR 71 94 72 93 / 0 20 10 20
STUTTGART AR 73 93 74 93 / 0 20 10 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62
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