338
FXUS64 KLZK 291134
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
634 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
-HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK WILL BE AROUND 5 TO 9
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
-NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH EMBEDDED
SHORT WAVES BRINGING CHANCES FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT THU AUG 29 2025
SATELLITE EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS WIDESPREAD LOW STRATUS WITH
BANDS OF SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THE LOW STRATUS DECK
CURRENTLY OVER MOST OF THE STATE SHOULD KEEP FOG POTENTIAL AT BAY
FOR MOST OF THE STATE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS
AROUND HARRISON AND MOUNTAIN HOME. LATEST HI-RES CAMS AND
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOWS THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAINFALL SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME TRAINING
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING.
A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER PARTS OF SOUTH ARKANSAS AS
THE TROUGH OFF PUSHES EAST OF THE STATE TODAY. NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DETERMINISTIC
GUIDANCES CONTINUES TO SHOW MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES PUSHING
OVER THE STATE DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. GUIDANCE DOES POINT
TO SOME SOME SUBTLE TIMING/STRENGTH DIFFERENCES WITH EACH
SHORTWAVE ONLY BRINGING CHANCES OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO PARTS OF THE STATE THROUGH THE
LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK. A LOOK AT LONGER TERM GUIDANCE SHOWS
SYNOPTIC SCALE TROUGHING CONTINUING TO PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE AROUND 5 TO 9
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE AUGUST INTO EARLY SEPTEMBER.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 619 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
LIFR/ IFR CEILINGS SEEN THIS MORNING DUE TO LOW STRATUS THROUGH A
LARGE PORTION OF THE STATE WITH SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG AROUND KBPK
THIS MORNING. CEILINGS GRADUALLY LIFT TO MVFR/VFR AROUND 15Z AND
FG DISSIPATES WITH LIGHT N/NE WINDS DURING THE DAY, THEN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TO CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING AT ALL TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 86 61 89 61 / 0 0 10 0
CAMDEN AR 78 64 86 65 / 30 20 20 10
HARRISON AR 80 59 84 61 / 0 10 10 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 81 64 86 66 / 20 10 20 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 81 64 86 66 / 10 0 10 10
MONTICELLO AR 81 65 89 66 / 20 10 20 10
MOUNT IDA AR 79 63 85 64 / 20 20 20 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 84 59 87 61 / 0 10 10 0
NEWPORT AR 87 62 89 64 / 0 0 10 0
PINE BLUFF AR 82 62 88 64 / 10 10 10 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 83 64 88 66 / 10 10 10 10
SEARCY AR 85 62 89 64 / 0 0 10 0
STUTTGART AR 84 62 88 65 / 0 0 10 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...76
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