455
FXUS64 KLZK 300510
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1210 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT THU AUG 29 2025
SATELLITE EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS WIDESPREAD LOW STRATUS WITH
BANDS OF SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THE LOW STRATUS DECK
CURRENTLY OVER MOST OF THE STATE SHOULD KEEP FOG POTENTIAL AT BAY
FOR MOST OF THE STATE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS
AROUND HARRISON AND MOUNTAIN HOME. LATEST HI-RES CAMS AND
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOWS THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAINFALL SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME TRAINING
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING.
A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER PARTS OF SOUTH ARKANSAS AS
THE TROUGH OFF PUSHES EAST OF THE STATE TODAY. NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DETERMINISTIC
GUIDANCES CONTINUES TO SHOW MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES PUSHING
OVER THE STATE DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. GUIDANCE DOES POINT
TO SOME SOME SUBTLE TIMING/STRENGTH DIFFERENCES WITH EACH
SHORTWAVE ONLY BRINGING CHANCES OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO PARTS OF THE STATE THROUGH THE
LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK. A LOOK AT LONGER TERM GUIDANCE SHOWS
SYNOPTIC SCALE TROUGHING CONTINUING TO PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE AROUND 5 TO 9
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE AUGUST INTO EARLY SEPTEMBER.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. CALM TO LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOMING E/NE AOB 07KTS OR LESS ON
SATURDAY ACROSS THE STATE. SOME PATCHY FOG REMAINS POSSIBLE FOR
AREAS THAT ARE ABLE TO CLEAR THE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS
CURRENTLY STREAMING ACROSS THE STATE EARLY THIS MORNING. ANY FOG
THAT DOES FOG IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 90 64 88 62 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN AR 88 66 89 65 / 10 10 10 10
HARRISON AR 84 63 81 61 / 0 10 10 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 88 67 85 66 / 0 10 10 20
LITTLE ROCK AR 87 67 85 66 / 0 0 10 10
MONTICELLO AR 92 68 91 67 / 0 0 10 10
MOUNT IDA AR 87 67 84 66 / 10 10 10 20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 88 64 85 62 / 0 0 10 10
NEWPORT AR 90 66 88 64 / 0 0 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 90 66 89 65 / 0 0 10 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 89 68 86 67 / 0 10 10 10
SEARCY AR 90 65 88 64 / 0 0 0 10
STUTTGART AR 90 66 88 66 / 0 0 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...76
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