205
FXUS64 KLZK 010542
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1242 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1237 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
ANOTHER QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE WITH JUST A FEW PATCHES
OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY
THIS MORNING. A FEW RADAR RETURNS ARE NOTED OVER FAR WESTERN
ARKANSAS WITH A FEW SPRINKLES NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION, BUT MOST
LOCATIONS WILL STAY DRY THROUGH SUNRISE. A WEAK SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED
WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SOME CHANCE POPS TO THE STATE ON TODAY
WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN
ARKANSAS.
BY MONDAY, A FRONT CURRENTLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL DIVE
SOUTH WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW AND APPROACHES THE STATE SOMETIME
DURING THE MORNING HOURS. THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING CHANCES
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER
WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ON MONDAY AND AN ISOLATED SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE STATE. BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING INTO TUESDAY, THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STATEWIDE WITH
SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR FILTERING IN BEHIND THE FRONT BY TUESDAY
NIGHT.
THE FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE STATE WITH PRIMARILY DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE STATE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THE
COLD FRONT WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE STATE ON THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY BRINGING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH ANOTHER
SHOT OF COOLER AIR USHERING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF ARKANSAS MAY
STRUGGLE TO GET INTO THE LOWER 80S WITH ONLY FAR SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS LIKELY INTO THE MID 80S ON THURSDAY IF
CURRENT FORECAST TRENDS HOLD.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE NEXT WEEKEND, ANOTHER DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED
WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST BRINGING CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER PARTS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS ON
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1237 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
SCATTERED SHRA/RA WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ACROSS NW AR AFFECTING
MAINLY KHRO. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DWINDLE THROUGH THE MORNING.
ADDITIONAL SHRA WILL BE POSSIBLE TUES AFTERNOON HOWEVER COVERAGE
AND TIMING REMAIN QUESTIONABLE THUS ONLY MENTION OF PROB30S AT
THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BE NERLY AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS ON TUES. VFR
CONDS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD HOWEVER SOME
PATCHY FG WILL BE POSSIBLE AT AND NEAR KADF.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 86 62 86 62 / 10 30 30 20
CAMDEN AR 88 65 86 64 / 10 20 40 10
HARRISON AR 78 60 80 59 / 40 40 30 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 84 65 85 65 / 20 30 40 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 84 65 83 65 / 10 30 30 10
MONTICELLO AR 91 67 88 66 / 10 20 40 10
MOUNT IDA AR 84 64 84 63 / 20 40 40 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 82 60 83 60 / 30 40 30 10
NEWPORT AR 86 65 85 63 / 10 30 20 20
PINE BLUFF AR 87 65 85 65 / 10 20 30 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 84 65 86 64 / 30 30 30 10
SEARCY AR 86 64 85 62 / 10 30 30 20
STUTTGART AR 87 66 84 65 / 10 30 30 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70
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