926
FXUS64 KLZK 011713
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1213 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
MAINLY MID TO HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
THIS MORNING AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES. THE BOUNDARY
WILL RIDE THE NW FLOW CURRENTLY IN PLACE AS THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
PATTERN OF LATE CONTINUES. GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT SYNOPTIC SCALE RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
WITH SUBSEQUENT DOWNSTREAM TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTY THROUGH SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE PATTERN DOES DAMPEN OUT
SOMEWHAT WITH TIME.
ONLY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON LOCAL RADARS OVER NW ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING AND ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY. EVEN
AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS TODAY, PRECIPITATION
WILL BE SCARCE WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE POPS JUSTIFIED WITH
MOST OF THE CWA REMAINING DRY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WITH RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING
UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH. ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE
BOUNDARY WITH HIGHS MONDAY/TUESDAY RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
OVER THE NORTH TO NEAR 90 OVER THE SOUTH.
AFTER A DRY WEDNESDAY, THE NEXT FRONT, ALSO CAUGHT UP IN THE NW
FLOW, WILL MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AND FOLLOWED
QUICKLY BY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. THIS FRONT HAS EVEN LESS
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH THAN ITS PREDECESSOR AND WILL BE LARGELY
UNNOTICED WITH LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION AND ONLY SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPS ACROSS THE NORTH.
ONE FINAL FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH IN THE STATE FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT BUT YOU GUESSED IT, PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
MINIMAL WITH THIS BOUNDARY AS WELL. OVERALL, TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
AVERAGE PRETTY CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF
SEPTEMBER.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS WESTERN LOCATIONS WITH
ONLY A FEW SPRINKLES ACTUALLY MAKE IT TO THE GROUND. OVERALL,
MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOME
INCREASED CLOUD COVER DUE TO A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH.
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
BECOMING MAINLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 62 86 62 88 / 20 20 20 10
CAMDEN AR 65 86 64 89 / 30 30 10 10
HARRISON AR 60 80 59 83 / 30 40 10 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 65 85 65 88 / 30 30 10 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 65 83 65 87 / 20 20 10 10
MONTICELLO AR 67 88 66 89 / 30 40 10 20
MOUNT IDA AR 64 84 63 87 / 30 30 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 60 83 60 86 / 20 40 10 10
NEWPORT AR 65 85 63 88 / 20 20 20 10
PINE BLUFF AR 65 85 65 88 / 20 20 10 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 65 86 64 89 / 30 30 10 10
SEARCY AR 64 85 62 88 / 20 20 20 10
STUTTGART AR 66 84 65 87 / 20 20 20 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...73
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