005
FXUS64 KLZK 012338
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
638 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
MAINLY MID TO HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
THIS MORNING AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES. THE BOUNDARY
WILL RIDE THE NW FLOW CURRENTLY IN PLACE AS THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
PATTERN OF LATE CONTINUES. GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT SYNOPTIC SCALE RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
WITH SUBSEQUENT DOWNSTREAM TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTY THROUGH SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE PATTERN DOES DAMPEN OUT
SOMEWHAT WITH TIME.
ONLY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON LOCAL RADARS OVER NW ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING AND ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY. EVEN
AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS TODAY, PRECIPITATION
WILL BE SCARCE WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE POPS JUSTIFIED WITH
MOST OF THE CWA REMAINING DRY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WITH RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING
UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH. ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE
BOUNDARY WITH HIGHS MONDAY/TUESDAY RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
OVER THE NORTH TO NEAR 90 OVER THE SOUTH.
AFTER A DRY WEDNESDAY, THE NEXT FRONT, ALSO CAUGHT UP IN THE NW
FLOW, WILL MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AND FOLLOWED
QUICKLY BY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. THIS FRONT HAS EVEN LESS
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH THAN ITS PREDECESSOR AND WILL BE LARGELY
UNNOTICED WITH LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION AND ONLY SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPS ACROSS THE NORTH.
ONE FINAL FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH IN THE STATE FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT BUT YOU GUESSED IT, PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
MINIMAL WITH THIS BOUNDARY AS WELL. OVERALL, TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
AVERAGE PRETTY CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF
SEPTEMBER.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 634 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WIDELY SCATTERED SHRA/RA ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE
THIS EVENING, AND AGAIN EARLY TUES MORNING OVER CNTRL/SRN SECTIONS
OF THE STATE WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE. WIND
OVERNIGHT WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND MAINLY OUT OF THE NW AT
LESS THAN 10 KTS ON TUES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 63 87 63 88 / 20 20 20 10
CAMDEN AR 65 88 66 88 / 30 30 10 20
HARRISON AR 61 80 60 83 / 30 40 10 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 66 86 65 87 / 30 30 10 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 67 86 66 87 / 20 20 20 10
MONTICELLO AR 67 89 67 89 / 30 40 10 20
MOUNT IDA AR 66 86 64 87 / 30 30 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 61 84 61 86 / 20 40 10 10
NEWPORT AR 64 88 64 88 / 20 20 20 10
PINE BLUFF AR 65 88 65 87 / 20 20 20 20
RUSSELLVILLE AR 66 88 65 89 / 30 30 10 10
SEARCY AR 64 87 64 88 / 20 20 20 20
STUTTGART AR 66 87 65 87 / 20 20 20 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...70
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