660
FXUS64 KLZK 020553
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1253 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
MAINLY MID TO HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
THIS MORNING AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES. THE BOUNDARY
WILL RIDE THE NW FLOW CURRENTLY IN PLACE AS THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
PATTERN OF LATE CONTINUES. GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT SYNOPTIC SCALE RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
WITH SUBSEQUENT DOWNSTREAM TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTY THROUGH SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE PATTERN DOES DAMPEN OUT
SOMEWHAT WITH TIME.
ONLY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON LOCAL RADARS OVER NW ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING AND ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY. EVEN
AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS TODAY, PRECIPITATION
WILL BE SCARCE WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE POPS JUSTIFIED WITH
MOST OF THE CWA REMAINING DRY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WITH RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING
UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH. ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE
BOUNDARY WITH HIGHS MONDAY/TUESDAY RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
OVER THE NORTH TO NEAR 90 OVER THE SOUTH.
AFTER A DRY WEDNESDAY, THE NEXT FRONT, ALSO CAUGHT UP IN THE NW
FLOW, WILL MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AND FOLLOWED
QUICKLY BY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. THIS FRONT HAS EVEN LESS
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH THAN ITS PREDECESSOR AND WILL BE LARGELY
UNNOTICED WITH LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION AND ONLY SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPS ACROSS THE NORTH.
ONE FINAL FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH IN THE STATE FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT BUT YOU GUESSED IT, PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
MINIMAL WITH THIS BOUNDARY AS WELL. OVERALL, TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
AVERAGE PRETTY CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF
SEPTEMBER.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE TERMINALS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS
MAINLY TO KLIT AND KPBF OVERNIGHT BUT NO IMPACTS ON OPERATIONS ARE
EXPECTED. WIND OVERNIGHT WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND MAINLY
OUT OF THE NW AT LESS THAN 10 KTS ON TUES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 88 63 90 64 / 10 10 10 10
CAMDEN AR 89 65 89 64 / 30 10 20 0
HARRISON AR 82 61 85 61 / 30 10 10 30
HOT SPRINGS AR 88 65 88 64 / 30 10 20 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 87 67 88 68 / 20 10 10 0
MONTICELLO AR 90 67 89 67 / 40 20 20 0
MOUNT IDA AR 86 64 87 63 / 30 10 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 86 61 88 62 / 20 10 10 20
NEWPORT AR 88 64 89 66 / 10 10 10 10
PINE BLUFF AR 88 65 88 65 / 20 10 10 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 88 65 90 65 / 30 10 10 10
SEARCY AR 88 65 89 66 / 10 10 10 10
STUTTGART AR 88 66 89 66 / 10 10 10 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...56
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