659
FXUS64 KLZK 071036
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
536 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 228 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
-TEMPERATURES OF 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE ARE TO BE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE STATE FROM TODAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK.
-INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME NEAR
AVERAGE TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
-RAIN CHANCES ARE ABSENT FROM THE FORECAST ACROSS THE STATE OF
ARKANSAS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 228 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
IN THE UPPER LVLS, THE DIGGING TROF POSITIONED OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION OF THE CONUS EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN REGION OF THE
CONUS WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM ARKANSAS IN
CLOSING OUT THE WEEKEND INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WORKWEEK. AS A
RESULT, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE NATURAL STATE
THROUGH THE EARLY WORKWEEK. BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK, AN UPPER
LVL RIDGE BUILDS OVER TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO AND BEGINS TO SLOWLY
EXPAND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID-SOUTH REGIONS OF THE CONUS
INCLUDING OVER ARKANSAS. IN RESPONSE, WAA WILL TAKE PLACE AND
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE TO VALUES
WHICH ARE NORMAL TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR AND THIS TREND WILL BEGIN DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK AND
LAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AT THE SFC, A CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE REGION
AND BEGIN BY ASSISTING AND KEEPING THESE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
BY 5 TO 10 DEGREES IN PLACE ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WORKWEEK. INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK AND BEYOND
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS MENTIONED ABOVE. A LACK OF
FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL BE NOTED AS AN UPPER LVL OMEGA BLOCK WILL
ASSIST IN KEEPING SFC HIGH PRESSURE IN THE REGION SOLIDIFIED ACROSS
THE REGION. SIMPLY PUT, RAIN CHANCES APPEAR TO BE NON-EXISTANT
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AT LEAST. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE IS ABSENT OF
RAIN CHANCES AS DRY AND FAIR CONDITIONS LOOK TO PERSIST THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 536 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE DURATION OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH ONE
EXCEPTION. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT THE SITE OF KADF WHERE
PATCHY, DENSE FOG HAS BEEN PRESENT FOR THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND A
TEMPO GROUP HAS BEEN ADDED FOR THIS SITE FOR VSBY THAT MAY DROP TO
IFR FLIGHT CATEGORY UNTIL LATER SUNDAY MORNING WHEN VSBY WILL
PERMANENTLY RETURN TO VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BEGIN
THE FORECAST PERIOD LIGHT AND VARIABLE BEFORE BECOMING ESTABLISHED
OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST-NORTHEAST LATER SUNDAY MORNING. SURFACE
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE ONCE AGAIN ACROSS ALL SITES
LATER SUNDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 84 51 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 82 54 82 51 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 80 51 80 51 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 82 56 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 82 55 80 55 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 84 56 84 55 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 82 55 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 83 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 83 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 83 54 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 84 56 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 83 53 80 52 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 82 54 80 54 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74
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