092
FXUS64 KLZK 080456
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1156 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 228 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
-TEMPERATURES OF 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE ARE TO BE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE STATE FROM TODAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK.
-INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME NEAR
AVERAGE TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
-RAIN CHANCES ARE ABSENT FROM THE FORECAST ACROSS THE STATE OF
ARKANSAS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 228 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
IN THE UPPER LVLS, THE DIGGING TROF POSITIONED OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION OF THE CONUS EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN REGION OF THE
CONUS WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM ARKANSAS IN
CLOSING OUT THE WEEKEND INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WORKWEEK. AS A
RESULT, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE NATURAL STATE
THROUGH THE EARLY WORKWEEK. BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK, AN UPPER
LVL RIDGE BUILDS OVER TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO AND BEGINS TO SLOWLY
EXPAND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID-SOUTH REGIONS OF THE CONUS
INCLUDING OVER ARKANSAS. IN RESPONSE, WAA WILL TAKE PLACE AND
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE TO VALUES
WHICH ARE NORMAL TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR AND THIS TREND WILL BEGIN DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK AND
LAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AT THE SFC, A CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE REGION
AND BEGIN BY ASSISTING AND KEEPING THESE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
BY 5 TO 10 DEGREES IN PLACE ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WORKWEEK. INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK AND BEYOND
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS MENTIONED ABOVE. A LACK OF
FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL BE NOTED AS AN UPPER LVL OMEGA BLOCK WILL
ASSIST IN KEEPING SFC HIGH PRESSURE IN THE REGION SOLIDIFIED ACROSS
THE REGION. SIMPLY PUT, RAIN CHANCES APPEAR TO BE NON-EXISTANT
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AT LEAST. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE IS ABSENT OF
RAIN CHANCES AS DRY AND FAIR CONDITIONS LOOK TO PERSIST THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1156 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM
EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS EXCEPT FOR ONE EXCEPTION AT KADF. AT THE WESTERN TERMINAL
OF KADF, PATCHY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN A TEMPO GROUP EARLY
MONDAY MORNING WHICH INCLUDES A REDUCTION IN VSBY TO IFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY. SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL TERMINAL OF KLIT, AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN SITES OF KPBF AND KLLQ WILL GUST IN EXCESS OF 15 KNOTS
LATER MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 82 51 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 84 54 81 52 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 79 51 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 80 55 80 54 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 81 54 79 55 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 84 56 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 82 55 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 82 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 80 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 83 52 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 85 55 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 81 52 80 52 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 81 53 80 53 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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