099
FXUS64 KLZK 091037 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
537 AM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
-NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK
-NEAR/BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY WARM ABOVE NORMAL LATER
IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND
-SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
MAINLY QUIET AND COOL CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE NATURAL
STATE EARLY THIS TUE MORNING...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING TEMPS DROP
AGAIN INTO THE 50S AND 60S SO FAR. A WEAK UPPER WAVE IS PASSING SE
OVER SRN MO...WITH MAINLY SOME INCREASED CLOUDS NOTED...THOUGH SOME
DIMINISHING PRECIP WAS SEEN OVER NERN OK. EXPECT ANY REMAINING
ACTIVITY TO DISSIPATE THIS MORNING...OR REMAIN WEST OF AR...WITH
LOWS DROPPING DOWN INTO THE 50S FOR MOST AREAS. SOME UPPER 40S WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MORE SHELTERED VALLEY AREAS.
DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR MON AS FLOW ALOFT
WILL CONTINUE FROM THE NW OVER THE REGION. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL
REMAIN LOW...ALLOWING AFTERNOON TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE MID 70S TO
MID 80S...OR A COUPLE DEG WARMER THAN SEEN ON MON AFTERNOON.
WEAK SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH A NEW...FAST MOVING
UPPER WAVE WILL DROP SE OVER THE REGION WED INTO WED NIGHT. TEMPS
WILL WARM A FEW MORE DEG FOR WED AS A RESULT OF THE SRLY WINDS...BUT
SHOULD SEE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER ON WED WITH THIS UPPER WAVE.
SHOULD STILL SEE DRY CONDITIONS...GIVEN NO SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
RETURN AHEAD OF THE UPPER WAVE. EVEN SO...WOULDN'T BE COMPLETELY
SURPRISED TO SEE AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA WED EVENING/NIGHT. MOST AREAS
SHOULD REMAIN DRY THOUGH.
FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION FROM NWRLY TO A MORE NRLY DIRECTION BY
LATE THIS WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDS TO THE
WEST OF AR. THIS UPPER RIDGE LOOKS TO DRIFT EAST OVER AR BY THIS
WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL WARM BY LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH
ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO MAJOR
CHANCES FOR RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER...ESPECIALLY WITH THE
UPPER RIDGE OVERHEAD. THE UPPER RIDGE MAY THEN SHIFT EAST AND WEAKEN
BY LATE IN THE FORECAST...WITH TEMPS STARTING TO SLOWLY COOL
STARTING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 536 AM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
EXPECT DOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE....WITH WINDS GENERALLY
VARIABLE AT LESS THAN 10 KTS SUSTAINED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 85 60 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 86 61 91 62 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 82 59 88 62 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 85 60 91 63 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 84 62 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 89 65 93 66 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 84 59 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 85 58 91 62 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 84 61 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 87 62 91 64 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 85 60 91 65 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 84 60 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 85 63 91 65 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62
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