226
FXUS64 KLZK 092345 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
645 PM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
-NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK
-NEAR/BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY WARM ABOVE NORMAL LATER
IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND
-SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
MAINLY QUIET AND COOL CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE NATURAL
STATE EARLY THIS TUE MORNING...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING TEMPS DROP
AGAIN INTO THE 50S AND 60S SO FAR. A WEAK UPPER WAVE IS PASSING SE
OVER SRN MO...WITH MAINLY SOME INCREASED CLOUDS NOTED...THOUGH SOME
DIMINISHING PRECIP WAS SEEN OVER NERN OK. EXPECT ANY REMAINING
ACTIVITY TO DISSIPATE THIS MORNING...OR REMAIN WEST OF AR...WITH
LOWS DROPPING DOWN INTO THE 50S FOR MOST AREAS. SOME UPPER 40S WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MORE SHELTERED VALLEY AREAS.
DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR MON AS FLOW ALOFT
WILL CONTINUE FROM THE NW OVER THE REGION. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL
REMAIN LOW...ALLOWING AFTERNOON TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE MID 70S TO
MID 80S...OR A COUPLE DEG WARMER THAN SEEN ON MON AFTERNOON.
WEAK SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH A NEW...FAST MOVING
UPPER WAVE WILL DROP SE OVER THE REGION WED INTO WED NIGHT. TEMPS
WILL WARM A FEW MORE DEG FOR WED AS A RESULT OF THE SRLY WINDS...BUT
SHOULD SEE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER ON WED WITH THIS UPPER WAVE.
SHOULD STILL SEE DRY CONDITIONS...GIVEN NO SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
RETURN AHEAD OF THE UPPER WAVE. EVEN SO...WOULDN'T BE COMPLETELY
SURPRISED TO SEE AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA WED EVENING/NIGHT. MOST AREAS
SHOULD REMAIN DRY THOUGH.
FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION FROM NWRLY TO A MORE NRLY DIRECTION BY
LATE THIS WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDS TO THE
WEST OF AR. THIS UPPER RIDGE LOOKS TO DRIFT EAST OVER AR BY THIS
WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL WARM BY LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH
ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO MAJOR
CHANCES FOR RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER...ESPECIALLY WITH THE
UPPER RIDGE OVERHEAD. THE UPPER RIDGE MAY THEN SHIFT EAST AND WEAKEN
BY LATE IN THE FORECAST...WITH TEMPS STARTING TO SLOWLY COOL
STARTING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
VFR CONDNS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU THE PD AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES IN OVER THE FA TUES NIGHT. VARIABLE WINDS WILL BE
SEEN AT AREA TERMINALS THRU THE OVERNIGHT TIMEFRAME, W/ SRLY TO
SWRLY WINDS RESUMING WED AFTN. RECENT REGIONAL RADAR DEPICTED SOME
SHOWERS MOVING ACRS SWRN MO TOWARDS NWRN AR. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT NRN TERMINALS W/ LOW CHCS FOR AREA PRECIP.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 60 92 64 95 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 61 91 64 94 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 59 90 63 92 / 10 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 61 91 64 94 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 63 90 67 93 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 65 93 68 95 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 58 91 63 94 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 59 91 63 94 / 10 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 62 91 64 94 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 63 92 65 95 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 60 92 65 95 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 61 91 65 94 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 64 91 65 94 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...72
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