116
FXUS64 KLZK 101044 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
544 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 153 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
-SMALL CHANCES FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
ACROSS THE NORTH/NORTHWEST
-TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
-MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST
THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 153 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
QUIET CONDITIONS ONGOING ARE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS WED
MORNING...THOUGH TEMPS WERE A BIT WARMER THIS MORNING THAN EARLIER
IN THE WEEK. EVEN SO...TEMPS HAD STILL DROPPED INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WINDS WILL GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BUT WILL SWITCH
TO THE SOUTH FOR THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH REMAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 KTS. THESE SRLY WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED WARMING FROM
PREVIOUS DAYS...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S.
A WEAK UPPER WAVE WILL DROP SE INTO NWRN AR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH MAINLY SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.
HAVE INTRODUCED SOME LOW END POPS FOR SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION THAT
LOOK POSSIBLE WITH THIS UPPER WAVE. THIS WILL BE MAINLY OVER
NRN/NWRN SECTIONS. MOST OTHER AREAS SHOULD REMAIN DRY.
FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION FROM A NWRLY DIRECTION TODAY TO MORE NRLY
BY LATE THIS WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE EXPANDS WEST OF AR. THIS UPPER
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY EXPAND AND DRIFT EAST OVER THE REGION...ALLOWING
FOR TEMPS TO CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LOOKS
LIKE TEMPS WILL PEAK OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE CENTER OF THE UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE REGION. HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER
90S...THOUGH THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW ISOLATED SPOTS HITTING THE
TRIPLE DIGIT MARK. OPPRESSIVE/EXCESSIVE HEAT LOOKS TO REMAIN AT BAY
THANKFULLY AS DEWPTS WILL NOT INCREASE MUCH WITH NO MAJOR MOISTURE
RETURN...AND CONTINUE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN THE NEXT
WEEK. AS A RESULT...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL HOVER NEAR DRY BULB TEMPS
FOR MOST AREAS.
EXPECT THE UPPER RIDGE TO REMAIN EITHER OVER THE REGION...OR AT
LEAST NEARBY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH NO MAJOR RELIEF EXPECTED IN
THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. THIS WILL ALSO KEEP THE FORECAST PRIMARILY
DRY INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. SOME
VERY ISOLATED CONVECTION COULD BE SEEN ACROSS NRN/NWRN
SECTIONS...BUT POTENTIAL TOO LOW TO MENTION WITHIN THE TAFS.
WINDS WILL ALSO REMAIN LESS THAN 10 KTS SUSTAINED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 90 64 94 64 / 0 20 0 0
CAMDEN AR 92 64 94 64 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 89 63 92 64 / 20 20 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 90 65 94 65 / 0 10 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 90 66 93 68 / 0 10 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 93 67 96 68 / 0 10 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 90 63 94 64 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 91 62 94 64 / 20 20 0 0
NEWPORT AR 90 64 93 65 / 0 10 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 92 65 94 66 / 0 10 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 91 65 94 66 / 0 20 0 0
SEARCY AR 90 64 93 65 / 0 10 0 0
STUTTGART AR 90 66 93 67 / 0 10 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62
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