669
FXUS64 KLZK 102259
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
559 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 153 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
-SMALL CHANCES FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
ACROSS THE NORTH/NORTHWEST
-TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
-MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST
THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 153 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
QUIET CONDITIONS ONGOING ARE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS WED
MORNING...THOUGH TEMPS WERE A BIT WARMER THIS MORNING THAN EARLIER
IN THE WEEK. EVEN SO...TEMPS HAD STILL DROPPED INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WINDS WILL GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BUT WILL SWITCH
TO THE SOUTH FOR THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH REMAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 KTS. THESE SRLY WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED WARMING FROM
PREVIOUS DAYS...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S.
A WEAK UPPER WAVE WILL DROP SE INTO NWRN AR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH MAINLY SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.
HAVE INTRODUCED SOME LOW END POPS FOR SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION THAT
LOOK POSSIBLE WITH THIS UPPER WAVE. THIS WILL BE MAINLY OVER
NRN/NWRN SECTIONS. MOST OTHER AREAS SHOULD REMAIN DRY.
FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION FROM A NWRLY DIRECTION TODAY TO MORE NRLY
BY LATE THIS WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE EXPANDS WEST OF AR. THIS UPPER
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY EXPAND AND DRIFT EAST OVER THE REGION...ALLOWING
FOR TEMPS TO CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LOOKS
LIKE TEMPS WILL PEAK OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE CENTER OF THE UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE REGION. HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER
90S...THOUGH THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW ISOLATED SPOTS HITTING THE
TRIPLE DIGIT MARK. OPPRESSIVE/EXCESSIVE HEAT LOOKS TO REMAIN AT BAY
THANKFULLY AS DEWPTS WILL NOT INCREASE MUCH WITH NO MAJOR MOISTURE
RETURN...AND CONTINUE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN THE NEXT
WEEK. AS A RESULT...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL HOVER NEAR DRY BULB TEMPS
FOR MOST AREAS.
EXPECT THE UPPER RIDGE TO REMAIN EITHER OVER THE REGION...OR AT
LEAST NEARBY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH NO MAJOR RELIEF EXPECTED IN
THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. THIS WILL ALSO KEEP THE FORECAST PRIMARILY
DRY INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 556 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW SCATTERED SHRA
ARE POSSIBLE AT KHRO AND KBPK THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT, OTHERWISE NO
IMPACTFUL WEATHER IS EXPECTED. WINDS ON THURS SHOULD BE S/SWRLY
BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 65 95 66 97 / 20 10 0 0
CAMDEN AR 65 94 67 96 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 65 92 65 94 / 20 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 66 95 68 97 / 10 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 68 93 70 95 / 10 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 68 95 69 97 / 10 10 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 65 95 66 96 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 64 94 65 97 / 20 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 66 95 67 96 / 10 10 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 68 95 67 97 / 10 10 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 67 95 68 97 / 10 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 65 94 66 96 / 10 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 68 94 68 96 / 10 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70
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