974  
FXUS64 KLZK 031741  
AFDLZK  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
1241 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
 
-SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY  
NEXT WEEK, WITH AREA HIGH READINGS GENERALLY 5 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE  
NORMAL.  
 
-MORE ORGANIZED AND WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES APPEAR POSSIBLE BY MID-  
WEEK NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT PLAINS.  
 
-COOLER AND MORE SEASONAL CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN BY MID TO LATE  
WEEK NEXT WEEK IN THE WAKE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
 
H500 RIDGING WAS NOTED ACRS MUCH OF THE CNTRL US W/ AMPLIFIED  
TROUGHING MOVING ACRS THE WRN US. LOCALLY, ERN US SFC PRESSURE  
CONTINUES TO DRIVE THE FCST, W/ DRY AND WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS  
PREVAILING THRU AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEKEND.  
 
THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, GUIDANCE  
REMAINS INDICATIVE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED H500 RIDGE DEAMPLIFYING AND  
SHIFTING SWRD OVER THE SRN CNTRL US, W/ GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW AND  
PASSING EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROFS PREVAILING ACRS THE CONUS.  
 
INCRSG SFC MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ACRS THE REGION BY MON, AND WL AID  
IN INCRSG RAIN CHANCES THRU THE EARLY HALF OF NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF AN  
APRCHG CDFRNT. LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THIS FRNT WL  
MOVE ACRS THE OZARK PLATEAU DURING THE TUES-WED TIMEFRAME, DRIVING  
MORE WIDESPREAD, BUT LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MUCH OF THE FA.  
 
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRNT, WHICH LOOKS TO SHIFT TOWARDS A "BACK-DOOR"  
FRNT AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE GREAT LAKES, NERLY SFC  
WINDS WL PREVAIL, USHERING IN MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR OVER THE  
NATURAL STATE THRU THE END OF THE PD, W/ SETTLED WX CONDNS  
RESUMING.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
 
CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS  
WILL BE OUT OF THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING  
BEFORE BECOMING MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
BATESVILLE AR 88 58 86 58 / 0 0 0 0  
CAMDEN AR 87 58 86 61 / 0 0 0 0  
HARRISON AR 85 58 82 58 / 0 0 0 0  
HOT SPRINGS AR 87 59 84 61 / 0 0 0 0  
LITTLE ROCK AR 86 60 85 62 / 0 0 0 0  
MONTICELLO AR 89 60 89 63 / 0 0 0 0  
MOUNT IDA AR 87 58 85 61 / 0 0 0 0  
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 87 59 84 59 / 0 0 0 0  
NEWPORT AR 88 60 87 59 / 0 0 0 0  
PINE BLUFF AR 87 59 87 61 / 0 0 0 0  
RUSSELLVILLE AR 88 60 85 61 / 0 0 0 0  
SEARCY AR 88 58 87 58 / 0 0 0 0  
STUTTGART AR 87 60 86 62 / 0 0 0 0  
 
 
   
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...99  
LONG TERM....99  
AVIATION...73  
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