615
FXUS64 KLZK 082236 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
536 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 201 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
-A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORKWEEK.
-A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS OR THE ENTIRE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.
-A WARMING TREND FOR TEMPERATURES OVERALL WILL BE PRESENT FROM THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WORKWEEK. ANTICIPATE TEMPERATURES TO BE 5
TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE OVERALL COMPARED TO NORMALS FOR MID-
OCTOBER.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 201 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE WILL
BEGIN BY BEING CHARACTERIZED BY A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FROPA ON TUESDAY (YESTERDAY). SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION OF THE CONUS WILL LEAD TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS ARKANSAS WHICH WILL USHER IN A CONTINUED
STREAM OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. IN THE UPPER LVLS,
ELONGATED RIDGING WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN REGION OF
THE CONUS EXTENDING WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION OF THE
CONUS, THIS INCLUDES OVER ARKANSAS WHICH WILL LEAD TO NEARLY ZONAL
FLOW. EXPECT A PERIOD OF TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE AVERAGE FOR THIS
TIME OF THE YEAR TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE STATE. LOW
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY MORNING WILL FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
WESTERN ARKANSAS.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
INTO THE WEEKEND, THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AND
ALLOW A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS ARKANSAS.
IN RESPONSE, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO UPTICK OVERALL AND BY
BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORKWEEK WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. AN UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER
THE ARK-LA-TEX REGION OF THE CONUS AND NEARLY ZONAL FLOW WILL BE
NOTED OVER ARKANSAS WHICH WILL KEEP DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS
PRESENT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT A
CONTINUATION OF DRY AND FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH OVERALL WARMING
TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 535 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE NE LATE THIS WED
AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HRS. AS A
RESULT...EXPECT DOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS
TAF PERIOD...WITH NRLY/NERLY WINDS CONTINUING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 52 75 47 77 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 57 78 50 80 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 50 73 49 77 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 56 77 51 79 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 56 75 51 77 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 58 79 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 55 78 51 80 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 51 75 48 77 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 53 74 47 76 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 56 76 49 79 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 56 78 51 80 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 53 75 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 55 75 50 78 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...74
AVIATION...62
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