286
FXUS64 KLZK 090439
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1139 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 201 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
-A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORKWEEK.
-A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS OR THE ENTIRE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.
-A WARMING TREND FOR TEMPERATURES OVERALL WILL BE PRESENT FROM THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WORKWEEK. ANTICIPATE TEMPERATURES TO BE 5
TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE OVERALL COMPARED TO NORMALS FOR MID-
OCTOBER.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 201 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE WILL
BEGIN BY BEING CHARACTERIZED BY A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FROPA ON TUESDAY (YESTERDAY). SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION OF THE CONUS WILL LEAD TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS ARKANSAS WHICH WILL USHER IN A CONTINUED
STREAM OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. IN THE UPPER LVLS,
ELONGATED RIDGING WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN REGION OF
THE CONUS EXTENDING WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION OF THE
CONUS, THIS INCLUDES OVER ARKANSAS WHICH WILL LEAD TO NEARLY ZONAL
FLOW. EXPECT A PERIOD OF TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE AVERAGE FOR THIS
TIME OF THE YEAR TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE STATE. LOW
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY MORNING WILL FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
WESTERN ARKANSAS.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
INTO THE WEEKEND, THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AND
ALLOW A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS ARKANSAS.
IN RESPONSE, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO UPTICK OVERALL AND BY
BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORKWEEK WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. AN UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER
THE ARK-LA-TEX REGION OF THE CONUS AND NEARLY ZONAL FLOW WILL BE
NOTED OVER ARKANSAS WHICH WILL KEEP DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS
PRESENT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT A
CONTINUATION OF DRY AND FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH OVERALL WARMING
TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
ANTICIPATE VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD OF
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED ACROSS ARKANSAS WILL KEEP
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS PRESENT OVER THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. IT IS NOTEWORTHY, THE TERMINALS OF KLIT, KPBF, AND KLLQ WILL
EXPERIENCE SURFACE WINDS WHICH WILL GUST IN EXCESS OF 20 KNOTS FROM
EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 78 52 75 47 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 82 57 78 50 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 74 51 73 49 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 76 57 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 79 57 75 51 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 81 59 79 53 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 75 55 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 76 51 75 48 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 79 53 74 47 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 81 57 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 83 57 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 79 54 75 48 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 79 56 75 50 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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