516
FXUS64 KLZK 090701
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
201 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
-A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS ARKANSAS THROUGH
THE END OF THE WORKWEEK.
-A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS OR THE ENTIRE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
-A WARMING TREND FOR TEMPERATURES OVERALL WILL BE PRESENT FROM THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WORKWEEK. ANTICIPATE TEMPERATURES TO BE 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE OVERALL COMPARED TO NORMALS FOR MID-
OCTOBER.
-NO CONSIDERABLE CHANGES OF ANY SORT FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
PACKAGE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE WILL
BEGIN WITH A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS IN PLACE. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION OF THE CONUS WILL LEAD
TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS ARKANSAS WHICH WILL USHER IN A
CONTINUED ADVECTION OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR ACROSS THE STATE. IN THE
UPPER LVLS, ELONGATED RIDGING WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
REGION OF THE CONUS EXTENDING WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
REGION OF THE CONUS, THIS INCLUDES OVER ARKANSAS WHICH WILL LEAD TO
NEARLY ZONAL FLOW. EXPECT A PERIOD OF TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
ACROSS THE STATE. LOW TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY MORNING WILL FALL INTO
THE LOW TO MID 40S ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN ARKANSAS.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
INTO THE WEEKEND, THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AND
ALLOW A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS ARKANSAS.
IN RESPONSE, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY INCREASE OVERALL
AND BY BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORKWEEK WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. AN UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL BE
CENTERED OVER THE ARK-LA-TEX REGION OF THE CONUS AND NEARLY ZONAL
FLOW WILL BE NOTED OVER ARKANSAS WHICH WILL KEEP DRY AND WARMING
CONDITIONS PRESENT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT
A CONTINUATION OF DRY AND FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH OVERALL
WARMING TEMPERATURES.
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW STRONG AGREEMENT OF A DRY NEXT SEVEN DAYS
ACROSS ARKANSAS WITH GRADUALLY WARMING INTO THE WEEKEND AND THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK OR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
ANTICIPATE VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD OF
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED ACROSS ARKANSAS WILL KEEP
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS PRESENT OVER THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. IT IS NOTEWORTHY, THE TERMINALS OF KLIT, KPBF, AND KLLQ WILL
EXPERIENCE SURFACE WINDS WHICH WILL GUST IN EXCESS OF 20 KNOTS FROM
EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 77 47 79 56 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 79 50 80 53 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 74 49 78 57 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 78 51 80 55 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 76 52 78 57 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 80 52 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 79 50 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 76 48 78 57 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 76 47 78 57 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 78 49 80 55 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 79 52 80 58 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 77 48 79 55 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 76 50 79 56 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74
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