580
FXUS64 KLZK 100604
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
104 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 103 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
-ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
-SATURDAY AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, DRY AND
SETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED, WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
PREVAILING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 103 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
OUTSIDE OF ISOLATED RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACRS NRN AR THIS
AFTN, A PERSISTENCE-STYLE FCST IS ON DECK FOR THE NATURAL STATE THRU
THE NEXT 5-7 DAYS AS UPPER LVL RIDGING BUILDS IN OVER THE CNTRL US.
REGARDING RAIN CHANCES THIS AFTN, AN EMBEDDED VORT MAX IS PROGGED TO
MANEUVER THRU MEAN NWRLY H500 FLOW, AND MAY SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF A
CLUSTER OR EVEN WEAK MCS ACRS PORTIONS OF MO, W/ PRECIP POSSIBLY
REACHING INTO NRN AR LATER THIS AFTN. HAVE INCLUDED HIGHER POP
MENTIONS, BUT QPF AND COVG OF PRECIP SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE.
FOLLOWING TODAY, A MEAN PATTERN OF H500 RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
IN ACRS THE CNTRL US, W/ ASCTD SFC HIGH PRESSURE RESIDING OVER THE
ERN HALF OF THE US. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE PERSISTENCE CONDNS, W/ ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY AND SETTLED WEATHER CONDNS PREVAILING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE ENTIRE
DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 80 57 83 56 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 80 55 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 79 58 82 57 / 10 10 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 80 58 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 78 60 82 59 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 81 57 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 82 57 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 79 57 83 57 / 20 10 0 0
NEWPORT AR 79 59 82 56 / 10 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 80 57 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 81 60 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 79 57 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 79 58 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...74
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