887
FXUS64 KLZK 102336
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
636 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 103 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
-ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
-SATURDAY AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, DRY AND
SETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED, WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
PREVAILING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 103 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
OUTSIDE OF ISOLATED RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACRS NRN AR THIS
AFTN, A PERSISTENCE-STYLE FCST IS ON DECK FOR THE NATURAL STATE THRU
THE NEXT 5-7 DAYS AS UPPER LVL RIDGING BUILDS IN OVER THE CNTRL US.
REGARDING RAIN CHANCES THIS AFTN, AN EMBEDDED VORT MAX IS PROGGED TO
MANEUVER THRU MEAN NWRLY H500 FLOW, AND MAY SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF A
CLUSTER OR EVEN WEAK MCS ACRS PORTIONS OF MO, W/ PRECIP POSSIBLY
REACHING INTO NRN AR LATER THIS AFTN. HAVE INCLUDED HIGHER POP
MENTIONS, BUT QPF AND COVG OF PRECIP SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE.
FOLLOWING TODAY, A MEAN PATTERN OF H500 RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
IN ACRS THE CNTRL US, W/ ASCTD SFC HIGH PRESSURE RESIDING OVER THE
ERN HALF OF THE US. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE PERSISTENCE CONDNS, W/ ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY AND SETTLED WEATHER CONDNS PREVAILING.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 634 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
4K-8K FT CEILINGS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 02-12Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
PREVAIL THROUGH THE VALID FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 79 57 83 54 / 10 10 0 0
CAMDEN AR 80 55 84 55 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 78 58 81 57 / 20 10 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 81 59 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 79 60 82 59 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 81 57 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 81 58 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 78 57 83 56 / 40 20 0 0
NEWPORT AR 79 60 82 55 / 20 20 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 80 58 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 81 60 85 59 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 79 58 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 79 58 82 56 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...55
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