155
FXUS64 KLZK 110517 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1217 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 103 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
-ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
-SATURDAY AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, DRY AND
SETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED, WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
PREVAILING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 103 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
OUTSIDE OF ISOLATED RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACRS NRN AR THIS
AFTN, A PERSISTENCE-STYLE FCST IS ON DECK FOR THE NATURAL STATE THRU
THE NEXT 5-7 DAYS AS UPPER LVL RIDGING BUILDS IN OVER THE CNTRL US.
REGARDING RAIN CHANCES THIS AFTN, AN EMBEDDED VORT MAX IS PROGGED TO
MANEUVER THRU MEAN NWRLY H500 FLOW, AND MAY SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF A
CLUSTER OR EVEN WEAK MCS ACRS PORTIONS OF MO, W/ PRECIP POSSIBLY
REACHING INTO NRN AR LATER THIS AFTN. HAVE INCLUDED HIGHER POP
MENTIONS, BUT QPF AND COVG OF PRECIP SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE.
FOLLOWING TODAY, A MEAN PATTERN OF H500 RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
IN ACRS THE CNTRL US, W/ ASCTD SFC HIGH PRESSURE RESIDING OVER THE
ERN HALF OF THE US. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE PERSISTENCE CONDNS, W/ ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY AND SETTLED WEATHER CONDNS PREVAILING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
NO SIG CHANGES TO ADVERTISE IN THE NEW TAF PD... RECENT IR SAT
IMGRY DEPICTED MID-LVL CLOUD COVER MOVING ACRS NRN AR TOWARDS
CNTRL AR. THRU SAT MRNG, EXPECT LOW-END VFR CIGS AT NRN TO CNTRL
TERMINALS, W/ SOME PATCHY FG WL BE POSSIBLE ACRS NRN SITES B/W
11/10Z TO 11/14Z, BUT EXPECT VFR CONDNS TO PREVAIL OTHERWISE THRU
THE PD. WINDS WL STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE ACRS THE FA.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 83 54 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 84 55 85 55 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 81 57 83 58 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 84 57 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 82 59 82 59 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 84 57 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 86 57 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 83 56 83 57 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 82 55 82 56 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 83 56 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 85 59 86 60 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 83 55 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 82 56 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...72
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