285
FXUS64 KLZK 110711
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
211 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 158 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
-PLEASANT FALL-LIKE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
-SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST AREA BY
THE NEW WORK WEEK, WITH DRY, SETTLED, AND WARM CONDITIONS
PREVAILING.
-UNSETTLED WEATHER, INCLUDING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES APPEAR
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 158 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
THRU THIS WEEKEND, PLEASANTLY COOL "FALL-LIKE" MRNGS ARE EXPECTED
ACRS THE FA, W/ SEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES PREVAILING.
MEAN H500 RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACRS THE CNTRL US THRU
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, WHICH WL SUPPORT DAILY TEMPS TRENDING UPWARDS
AND STAYING SEASONABLY WARM, W/ NO APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES THRU
THE FCST PD.
OF NOTE TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK, LONG-TERM DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE-MEAN H500 AND SFC PROGS ARE BEGINNING TO ADVERTISE A
PATTERN SHIFT TOWARDS MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE
NATURAL STATE. WL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR HAZARDOUS WX POTENTIAL,
BUT FOR NOW, UNCERTAINTIES AND VARIABILITY REMAIN TOO LARGE FOR
ANY CONCRETE DETAILS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
NO SIG CHANGES TO ADVERTISE IN THE NEW TAF PD... RECENT IR SAT
IMGRY DEPICTED MID-LVL CLOUD COVER MOVING ACRS NRN AR TOWARDS
CNTRL AR. THRU SAT MRNG, EXPECT LOW-END VFR CIGS AT NRN TO CNTRL
TERMINALS, W/ SOME PATCHY FG WL BE POSSIBLE ACRS NRN SITES B/W
11/10Z TO 11/14Z, BUT EXPECT VFR CONDNS TO PREVAIL OTHERWISE THRU
THE PD. WINDS WL STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE ACRS THE FA.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 82 54 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 85 57 85 55 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 80 57 82 58 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 84 58 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 82 58 83 59 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 84 57 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 85 57 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 81 56 83 57 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 81 55 82 55 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 83 56 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 85 59 86 60 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 83 55 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 82 57 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...72
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