611
FXUS64 KLZK 120742
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
242 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
-SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK, WITH DRY AND SETTLED CONDITIONS
PREVAILING.
-UNSETTLED WEATHER, INCLUDING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES APPEAR
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE THIS WEEK AND WEEKEND, BUT
UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO ADVERTISE TO THE IMMEDIATE FCST... MEAN
H500 RIDGING WL PREVAIL ACRS THE CNTRL US THRU MUCH OF THE COMING
WEEK, W/ ASCTD SFC HIGH PRESSURE ACRS THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES
REGION. SEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS, AND DRY AND SETTLED WX
CONDNS WL PREVAIL W/ NO APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED UNTIL
LATE THIS WEEK.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PD AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND, LONG-TERM
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE-MEAN H500 AND SFC PROGS ARE CONTINUING
TO ADVERTISE A PATTERN SHIFT TOWARDS MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES
FOR MUCH OF THE NATURAL STATE. WL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR
HAZARDOUS WX POTENTIAL, BUT FOR NOW, UNCERTAINTIES AND VARIABILITY
REMAIN TOO LARGE FOR ANY CONCRETE DETAILS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1233 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
EXPECT VFR CONDNS TO PREVAIL THRU THE NEW TAF PD AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DRIVE THE AVIATION FCST. SOME PATCHY FG MAY
BE POSSIBLE AROUND AND NEAR CNTRL TERMINALS NEAR 12/12Z SUN MRNG,
BUT VISBYS SHOULD REMAIN VFR. WINDS WL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE
ACRS CNTRL TO SERN AR, W/ MORE DOMINANT SRLY WINDS PREVAILING ACRS
NRN TO NWRN AR SUN AFTN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 84 56 87 59 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 85 56 87 57 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 82 59 83 60 / 0 10 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 86 59 87 60 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 83 60 86 62 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 86 58 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 86 58 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 83 58 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 83 57 86 60 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 84 58 87 58 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 87 60 88 62 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 83 56 87 60 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 83 59 86 60 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...72
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