561
FXUS64 KLZK 121740
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1240 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
-SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK, WITH DRY AND SETTLED CONDITIONS
PREVAILING.
-UNSETTLED WEATHER, INCLUDING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES APPEAR
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE THIS WEEK AND WEEKEND, BUT
UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO ADVERTISE TO THE IMMEDIATE FCST... MEAN
H500 RIDGING WL PREVAIL ACRS THE CNTRL US THRU MUCH OF THE COMING
WEEK, W/ ASCTD SFC HIGH PRESSURE ACRS THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES
REGION. SEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS, AND DRY AND SETTLED WX
CONDNS WL PREVAIL W/ NO APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED UNTIL
LATE THIS WEEK.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PD AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND, LONG-TERM
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE-MEAN H500 AND SFC PROGS ARE CONTINUING
TO ADVERTISE A PATTERN SHIFT TOWARDS MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES
FOR MUCH OF THE NATURAL STATE. WL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR
HAZARDOUS WX POTENTIAL, BUT FOR NOW, UNCERTAINTIES AND VARIABILITY
REMAIN TOO LARGE FOR ANY CONCRETE DETAILS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
ASIDE FROM SOME OVERNIGHT PATCHY FOG POTENTIAL IN THE PRONE AREAS,
VFR CONDITIONS UNDER SKC-FEW MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
PREVAIL WITH WINDS FAVORING THE SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTIONS AOB 10
KNOTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 56 85 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 56 86 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 59 83 60 82 / 10 10 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 59 87 61 85 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 60 85 62 84 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 58 87 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 59 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 58 84 60 84 / 0 10 0 0
NEWPORT AR 58 86 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 58 86 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 61 88 62 88 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 57 86 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 58 85 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...77
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