394
FXUS64 KLZK 130447
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1147 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
-SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK, WITH DRY AND SETTLED CONDITIONS
PREVAILING.
-UNSETTLED WEATHER, INCLUDING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES APPEAR
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE THIS WEEK AND WEEKEND, BUT
UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO ADVERTISE TO THE IMMEDIATE FCST... MEAN
H500 RIDGING WL PREVAIL ACRS THE CNTRL US THRU MUCH OF THE COMING
WEEK, W/ ASCTD SFC HIGH PRESSURE ACRS THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES
REGION. SEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS, AND DRY AND SETTLED WX
CONDNS WL PREVAIL W/ NO APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED UNTIL
LATE THIS WEEK.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PD AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND, LONG-TERM
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE-MEAN H500 AND SFC PROGS ARE CONTINUING
TO ADVERTISE A PATTERN SHIFT TOWARDS MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES
FOR MUCH OF THE NATURAL STATE. WL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR
HAZARDOUS WX POTENTIAL, BUT FOR NOW, UNCERTAINTIES AND VARIABILITY
REMAIN TOO LARGE FOR ANY CONCRETE DETAILS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1147 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE DURATION OF
THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. NO DEGRADATION TO CIGS OR VSBY IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 86 57 85 59 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 87 57 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 80 59 83 60 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 84 59 87 61 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 83 59 85 62 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 85 58 87 59 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 88 58 87 60 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 82 58 84 60 / 0 0 0 10
NEWPORT AR 83 57 86 60 / 0 0 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 85 57 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 86 61 88 62 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 83 57 86 60 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 84 58 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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