677
FXUS64 KLZK 302300 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
600 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 239 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
-FROST LIKELY FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN, WESTERN, AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO FALL INTO
THE MID 30S. A FROST ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CWA AND STATE OF ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
-COOL TEMPERATURES OVERALL WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND COMPARED
TO SEASONABLE AVERAGES.
-A LOW CHANCE OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
SATURDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN
ARKANSAS.
-A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ACROSS ARKANSAS INTO THE UPCOMING
WORKWEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE STATE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE STATE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 239 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
THURSDAY (TODAY) THROUGH FRIDAY
ARKANSAS IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A POST-FRONTAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN.
IN THE UPPER LVLS, A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IS PRESENT OVER ARKANSAS. AT
THE SFC, A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS BUILDING INTO THE REGION AND WILL
REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE THROUGH FRIDAY.
EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
LOOSENS. EFFECTIVE RADIATIONAL COOLING ON LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR LOW
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S WITH AN INCREASED POTENTIAL
FOR FROST ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN, WESTERN, AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS. A
FROST ADVISORY MAY BE WARRANTED AS TEMPERATURES DIVE INTO THE 33 TO
36 DEGREE RANGE.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
AN UPPER LVL SHORTWAVE TROF IS PROGGED TO DIVE NEAR THE STATE OUT OF
THE MIDWESTERN REGION OF THE CONUS. THE SHORTWAVE TROF WILL PUSH A
WEAK SFC COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE OF ARKANSAS FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH ON SATURDAY. A LOW CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STRAY THUNDERSTORM
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT; HOWEVER OVERALL POP CHANCES WILL BE
LOW AS THIS COLD FRONT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED OVERALL. THE
PRESENCE OF THIS WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
OPPORTUNITY FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES.
INTO THE NEXT WORKWEEK, AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL BE PLACED
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CONUS. IN RESPONSE,
STRONG SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LVL FEATURE WILL LEAD
TO A STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER TO FINISH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND
OVERALL TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE COMPARED TO NORMALS
FOR EARLY NOVEMBER.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 545 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
NO SIG CHANGES TO NOTE IN THE NEW TAF PD... WIDESPREAD VFR
CONDNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WL
PREVAIL OVERNIGHT THURS, W/ LIGHT W-NW WINDS RESUMING ON FRI.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 40 66 45 59 / 0 0 0 30
CAMDEN AR 38 66 44 62 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 37 63 43 55 / 0 0 0 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 39 67 45 60 / 0 0 0 20
LITTLE ROCK AR 43 65 47 60 / 0 0 0 20
MONTICELLO AR 41 67 45 64 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 38 68 44 61 / 0 0 0 20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 36 64 44 55 / 0 0 0 20
NEWPORT AR 41 66 47 61 / 0 0 0 30
PINE BLUFF AR 40 65 45 62 / 0 0 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 39 67 47 61 / 0 0 0 20
SEARCY AR 39 66 45 61 / 0 0 0 30
STUTTGART AR 41 65 47 61 / 0 0 0 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARZ004>007-014-
015-103-112-113-121-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-223-230-237-
238-240-241-313.
SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...72
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