889
FXUS64 KLZK 062347
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
547 PM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 221 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
+ AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THIS MORNING ACROSS A
LARGE POTION OF THE STATE.
+ A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH TEMPERATURES FLIP FLOPPING A BIT.
+ LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION IF EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 221 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
NOT MANY VALUE ADDED CHANGES WILL BE FORTH COMING THIS MORNING AS
THE OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK, AT LEAST ACCORDING TO THE
LATEST GUIDANCE. CURRENT GOES-19 IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A DECENT
AMOUNT OF HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS THE STATE BUT ALSO SOME
CLEARING NOW GETTING INTO FAR NW ARKANSAS.
AN EXPANDING AREA OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IS DEVELOPING ACROSS A GOOD
PART OF THE STATE AND WHILE VISIBILITIES REMAIN ABOVE CRITERIA
CURRENTLY, SOME GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE PARTS OF THE FORECAST
AREAS MAY SEE THEM DROP MORE BY MORNING. LATEST OBSERVATIONS
INDICATED PATCHY FOG AT MANY LOCATIONS AND IT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH EARLY MORNING.
SYNOPTIC SCALE PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES BROAD H5 TROUGHING OVER
THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS. A WEAK TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE OVERALL
FLOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS MORNING SCOURING OUT THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE, AT LEAST TEMPORARILY WITH SOME CLEARING EXPECTED. THE
BREAK IN WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WILL BE TEMPORARY AS CLOUDS RETURN
TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING FRONT. THE FRONT WILL HAVE
VIRTUALLY NO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND WILL PASS LARGELY
UNNOTICED ON SUNDAY EXCEPT FOR A WIND SHIFT BACK TO THE NW AS
THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS PASSES TO OUR NE.
ANOTHER DRY FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH THE UPPER
PATTERN BECOMING HIGHLY AMPLIFIED BY THE END OF THE WEEK. PATTERN
WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY PRONOUNCED RIDGING OVER THE SW AND DEEP
TROUGHING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS. ANOTHER DRY BOUNDARY WILL
BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR TO THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND WITH
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN TO CLOSE OUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WHILE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED, TEMPERATURES WILL FLUCTUATE UP
AND DOWN WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SERIES OF BOUNDARIES MOVING
THROUGH.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 221 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
NOT MANY VALUE ADDED CHANGES WILL BE FORTH COMING THIS MORNING AS
THE OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK, AT LEAST ACCORDING TO THE
LATEST GUIDANCE. CURRENT GOES-19 IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A DECENT
AMOUNT OF HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS THE STATE BUT ALSO SOME
CLEARING NOW GETTING INTO FAR NW ARKANSAS.
AN EXPANDING AREA OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IS DEVELOPING ACROSS A GOOD
PART OF THE STATE AND WHILE VISIBILITIES REMAIN ABOVE CRITERIA
CURRENTLY, SOME GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE PARTS OF THE FORECAST
AREAS MAY SEE THEM DROP MORE BY MORNING. LATEST OBSERVATIONS
INDICATED PATCHY FOG AT MANY LOCATIONS AND IT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH EARLY MORNING.
SYNOPTIC SCALE PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES BROAD H5 TROUGHING OVER
THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS. A WEAK TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE OVERALL
FLOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS MORNING SCOURING OUT THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE, AT LEAST TEMPORARILY WITH SOME CLEARING EXPECTED. THE
BREAK IN WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WILL BE TEMPORARY AS CLOUDS RETURN
TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING FRONT. THE FRONT WILL HAVE
VIRTUALLY NO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND WILL PASS LARGELY
UNNOTICED ON SUNDAY EXCEPT FOR A WIND SHIFT BACK TO THE NW AS
THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS PASSES TO OUR NE.
ANOTHER DRY FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH THE UPPER
PATTERN BECOMING HIGHLY AMPLIFIED BY THE END OF THE WEEK. PATTERN
WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY PRONOUNCED RIDGING OVER THE SW AND DEEP
TROUGHING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS. ANOTHER DRY BOUNDARY WILL
BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR TO THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND WITH
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN TO CLOSE OUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WHILE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED, TEMPERATURES WILL FLUCTUATE UP
AND DOWN WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SERIES OF BOUNDARIES MOVING
THROUGH.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 537 PM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
SOME MVFR CEILINGS CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS, BUT
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SCATTER OUT. PREVAILING MVFR EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z. DEPENDING ON HIGHER LEVEL CLOUD COVER MOVING
IN FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WILL AFFECT THE
ABILITY FOR IFR OR WORSE CEILINGS OR LOWERED VISIBILITIES IN FOG,
WHICH WOULD FAVOR SOUTHERN TAF SITES SHOULD CLEAR CONDITIONS
PREVAIL THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENTS IN
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE MORNING HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 36 52 30 44 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 38 55 33 49 / 10 10 0 0
HARRISON AR 36 47 26 46 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 37 56 32 49 / 0 10 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 38 55 34 46 / 0 10 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 40 56 36 48 / 0 20 10 0
MOUNT IDA AR 38 56 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 35 49 27 44 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 37 54 32 44 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 37 55 34 46 / 0 10 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 37 56 31 49 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 35 54 31 44 / 10 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 38 55 34 45 / 0 10 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...77
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