291
FXUS64 KLZK 072333 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
533 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
+ AREAS OF FOG, LOCALLY DENSE, ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THIS
MORNING ACROSS A LARGE POTION OF THE STATE.
+ A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY WITH ANOTHER
FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BEHIND THESE
BOUNDARIES BUT WARM UP IN BETWEEN THEM
+ LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION IF EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK
OTHER THAN A SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS TODAY OVER THE SOUTH.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND
TRAFFIC CAMERAS CONFIRM WHERE THE FOG HAD DEVELOPED, IT IS DENSE AND
PRODUCING VERY LOW VISIBILITIES. WITH CONDITIONS LIKELY TO NOT
IMPROVE THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT, THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE
LEFT IN PLACE.
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES BROAD TROUGHING COVERING
MOST OF THE COUNTRY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WHERE
RIDGING IS START TO BUILD IN. THIS PATTERN IS BRINGING A BROAD NW
FLOW TO THE REGION AND WILL HELP DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
STATE EARLY THIS MORNING. FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH LITTLE IF ANY
FANFARE EXCEPT FOR A WIND SHIFT AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER
THE FAR SOUTH. NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM THIS
FROPA BUT GUIDANCE FINALLY STARTS TO SCOUR OUT THIS PERSISTENT CLOUD
COVER WITH A RETURN TO SUNSHINE JUST IN TIME TO START THE NEW WORK
WEEK MONDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 40S TO MID 50S BUT
WILL STEADY OUT OR DROP A LITTLE BIT OVER THE NORTH AS ANOTHER SHOT
OF COLDER AIR FOLLOWS THE FRONT FOR MONDAY. THIS COOL DOWN WILL BE
BRIEF AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WILL BRING A
RETURN TO LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARMER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON
TUESDAY WILL BE BACK IN THE 50S AREA WIDE WITH MUCH OF THE STATE
CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 60S ON WEDNESDAY.
PATTERN BECOMES HIGHLY AMPLIFIED BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS STRONG
RIDGING DEVELOPS ALONG THE WEST COAST WITH SIGNIFICANT TROUGHING
OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY. THIS IN TURN WILL DRIVE
ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH
THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER WITH THIS BOUNDARY AND WINDS GOING BACK
TO THE NORTH AFTER ITS PASSAGE, TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE
KNOCKED BACK DOWN SOMEWHAT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN DROP DOWN OUT OF CANADA AND SETTLE OVER THE
AREA NEXT WEEKEND. SATURDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS
ONLY TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S BUT WARMER READINGS
WILL RETURN SUNDAY AS THE HIGH SLIPS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 525 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
A CDFRNT WAS RECENTLY ANALYZED MOVING THRU SERN AR VIA SFC OBS, W/
NRLY WINDS OVER THE FA. MIXED CONDNS WERE NOTED ACRS THE FA AT
THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE, W/ MOST TERMINALS UNDER MVFR/VFR CIGS, AND
SOME ISOLATED IFR CIGS. EXPECT AT LEAST MVFR CIGS TO PREVAIL AT
MOST TERMINALS THRU THE OVERNIGHT PD, W/ INTERMITTENT IFR CIGS
POSSIBLE. LIGHT RAIN WAS ONGOING ACRS SRN AR, AND WL MAINLY IMPACT
SRN TERMINALS B/W 08/00Z TO 08/06Z. REDUCED VISBYS AND SOME
PATCHY FOG MAY ARISE BEHIND THIS LIGHT RAIN OVERNIGHT, BUT
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW TO MEDIUM ATTM. OTHERWISE, CLOUD COVER IS
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN COVG FM W TO E DURING THE DAY MON, W/
CONDNS IMPROVING TO VFR LEVELS THEREAFTER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 31 45 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 35 49 30 57 / 20 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 28 45 31 58 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 32 50 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 35 47 32 56 / 20 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 38 48 31 56 / 50 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 31 52 32 58 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 27 44 30 58 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 34 45 31 54 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 36 47 30 56 / 20 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 32 50 31 60 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 33 46 29 55 / 20 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 36 46 31 55 / 20 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...72
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