278
FXUS64 KLZK 080514 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1114 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
+ AREAS OF FOG, LOCALLY DENSE, ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THIS
MORNING ACROSS A LARGE POTION OF THE STATE.
+ A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY WITH ANOTHER
FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BEHIND THESE
BOUNDARIES BUT WARM UP IN BETWEEN THEM
+ LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION IF EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK
OTHER THAN A SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS TODAY OVER THE SOUTH.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND
TRAFFIC CAMERAS CONFIRM WHERE THE FOG HAD DEVELOPED, IT IS DENSE AND
PRODUCING VERY LOW VISIBILITIES. WITH CONDITIONS LIKELY TO NOT
IMPROVE THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT, THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE
LEFT IN PLACE.
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES BROAD TROUGHING COVERING
MOST OF THE COUNTRY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WHERE
RIDGING IS START TO BUILD IN. THIS PATTERN IS BRINGING A BROAD NW
FLOW TO THE REGION AND WILL HELP DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
STATE EARLY THIS MORNING. FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH LITTLE IF ANY
FANFARE EXCEPT FOR A WIND SHIFT AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER
THE FAR SOUTH. NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM THIS
FROPA BUT GUIDANCE FINALLY STARTS TO SCOUR OUT THIS PERSISTENT CLOUD
COVER WITH A RETURN TO SUNSHINE JUST IN TIME TO START THE NEW WORK
WEEK MONDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 40S TO MID 50S BUT
WILL STEADY OUT OR DROP A LITTLE BIT OVER THE NORTH AS ANOTHER SHOT
OF COLDER AIR FOLLOWS THE FRONT FOR MONDAY. THIS COOL DOWN WILL BE
BRIEF AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WILL BRING A
RETURN TO LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARMER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON
TUESDAY WILL BE BACK IN THE 50S AREA WIDE WITH MUCH OF THE STATE
CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 60S ON WEDNESDAY.
PATTERN BECOMES HIGHLY AMPLIFIED BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS STRONG
RIDGING DEVELOPS ALONG THE WEST COAST WITH SIGNIFICANT TROUGHING
OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY. THIS IN TURN WILL DRIVE
ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH
THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER WITH THIS BOUNDARY AND WINDS GOING BACK
TO THE NORTH AFTER ITS PASSAGE, TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE
KNOCKED BACK DOWN SOMEWHAT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN DROP DOWN OUT OF CANADA AND SETTLE OVER THE
AREA NEXT WEEKEND. SATURDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS
ONLY TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S BUT WARMER READINGS
WILL RETURN SUNDAY AS THE HIGH SLIPS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH DAYBREAK AS LOW CIGS REMAIN
WIDESPREAD WITH A FEW TERMINALS SEEING IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
07/15Z. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT TO VFR CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED FROM
WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS MONDAY. N/NW WINDS
OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 54 31 45 31 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 53 35 49 30 / 40 20 0 0
HARRISON AR 47 28 45 31 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 55 32 50 31 / 20 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 55 35 47 32 / 10 20 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 56 38 48 31 / 40 50 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 55 31 52 32 / 20 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 50 27 44 30 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 52 34 45 31 / 10 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 52 36 47 30 / 20 20 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 55 32 50 31 / 20 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 55 33 46 29 / 20 20 0 0
STUTTGART AR 53 36 46 31 / 20 20 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...56
AVIATION...67
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