141
FXUS64 KLZK 081747
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1147 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 112 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
- COOL CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARMUP THROUGH
MID-WEEK.
- A MAJOR COOLDOWN IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 112 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT, SFC RIDGING WILL BRIEFLY
BUILD IN FROM THE NW TODAY WHICH WILL PROVIDE COOL TEMPERATURES TO
THE AREA. SFC RIDGING WILL QUICKLY SHIFT EAST FOR TUESDAY AND LOW
LEVEL WINDS WILL TURN OUT OF THE SW. THIS WILL PROVIDE WARMING
TEMPERATURES THROUGH MIDWEEK ACROSS THE STATE.
THIS WARMUP WILL COME TO AN END BY LATE WEEK AS A STRONG MID-LEVEL CYCLONE
ROTATES ITS WAY SOUTH TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. A CORRESPONDING
H500 TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY TOWARD
THE MID-ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. AT THE SFC, A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE, PROVIDING SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES. FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY ANOTHER MID-LEVEL TROUGH
WILL PROGRESS FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY
WHICH WILL PROVIDE NW FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY. AT THE SFC,
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE WITH A FRIGID AIR
MASS IN ITS WAKE.
WHILE THE FOCUS OF THE COLD AIR WILL REMAIN NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE, MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE
THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, THERE
REMAINS VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY KIND OF PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1139 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LOW STRATUS DECK CONTINUING TO
ERODE OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. IFR/MVFR CEILINGS WILL LIFT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE STRATUS DECK CONTINUES TO
ERODE LEADING TO VFR CIG AT ALL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON. SOME
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE DOES BUILD A STRATUS DECK BACK INTO PARTS OF
NORTHWEST & WESTERN ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL VEER TO
THE SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA PUSHES INTO THE
STATE LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL VEER
TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS OF 15-20 KTS POSSIBLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 31 56 43 59 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 29 56 41 61 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 31 58 44 53 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 31 56 42 60 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 31 56 43 59 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 32 56 43 61 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 32 58 43 61 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 30 59 43 54 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 30 53 43 59 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 30 56 42 60 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 31 59 40 60 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 28 55 39 59 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 31 54 42 59 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...76
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