034
FXUS64 KLZK 091123 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
523 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
- SOME FOG OR FREEZING FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS.
- INCREASING SW WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY.
- A COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS WEEK WITH A
STRONGER ONE BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED, BUT SOME LIGHT RAIN
IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
LOW CLOUDS REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS THIS MORNING WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS AND COLD
TEMPERATURES ELSEWHERE. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
FREEZING FOG DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN, CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH DAYBREAK.
SFC RIDGING WILL DRIFT E/SE AWAY FROM THE STATE TODAY AND SW WINDS
WILL INCREASE AS THIS HAPPENS. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE BOTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. 24 HR
TEMP DIFFERENCES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME COULD BE NEARLY 20 DEGREES
F IN SOME CASES, QUITE A NOTICEABLE WARMUP FOR SOME.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL TEMPER THE
WARMUP EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE SOMEWHAT. NW WINDS WILL INCREASE
AND THE WARMEST READINGS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN AR. THE
WARMUP WILL COMMENCE ONCE AGAIN FOR THE THU-FRI TIMEFRAME AS THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS OUT OF THE SW. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH ON FRIDAY AFTER PEAK HEATING, WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE FRIDAY NIGHT TIMEFRAME.
THE MAIN CHANGE WILL TAKE PLACE FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS YET
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH, BUT THIS ONE WILL LEAD THE
CHARGE OF AN ARCTIC AIRMASS. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPILL IN WITH
HIGHS ON SUNDAY LIKELY LIMITED TO THE 30S F FOR MUCH OF THE
STATE. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 20S F WILL BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AS
WELL.
WHILE THE STATE WILL BE IMPACTED BY THE COLD AIR, THE CENTER OF
THE SFC RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN
NORTHEAST OF THE STATE. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE COLDEST AIR BEING
WELL NE OF ARKANSAS BY HUNDREDS OF MILES. ALSO, THIS WILL LEAD TO
A PRETTY GOOD TEMPERATURE SPREAD FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE STATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THERE REMAINS VERY LITTLE SIGNAL FOR ANY MOISTURE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THE MAIN CHANGE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS IS THAT THERE COULD
BE SOME SHOWERS ON SATURDAY, WITH SOME LOW POPS INCLUDED WITH THIS
FORECAST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 521 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
MVFR/IFR CIGS PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE WHILE
HIGH CLOUDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE STATE. LOW CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY ERODE AND VFR CONDITIONS
WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE PERIOD. SW WINDS WILL INCREASE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE TODAY, STRONGEST ACROSS NORTHERN AR.
COULD SEE WINDS ABOVE 10 KTS WITH GUSTS ABOVE 20 KTS AT TIMES,
PERSISTING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 56 43 58 33 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 57 41 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 59 43 52 32 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 56 42 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 56 42 59 35 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 57 43 62 36 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 58 43 60 34 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 59 43 54 31 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 53 43 57 34 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 56 42 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 59 40 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 55 40 59 32 / 0 10 0 0
STUTTGART AR 54 42 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...67
AVIATION...67
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