015
FXUS64 KLZK 091751
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1151 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
- SOME FOG OR FREEZING FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS.
- INCREASING SW WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY.
- A COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS WEEK WITH A
STRONGER ONE BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED, BUT SOME LIGHT RAIN
IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
LOW CLOUDS REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS THIS MORNING WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS AND COLD
TEMPERATURES ELSEWHERE. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
FREEZING FOG DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN, CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH DAYBREAK.
SFC RIDGING WILL DRIFT E/SE AWAY FROM THE STATE TODAY AND SW WINDS
WILL INCREASE AS THIS HAPPENS. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE BOTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. 24 HR
TEMP DIFFERENCES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME COULD BE NEARLY 20 DEGREES
F IN SOME CASES, QUITE A NOTICEABLE WARMUP FOR SOME.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL TEMPER THE
WARMUP EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE SOMEWHAT. NW WINDS WILL INCREASE
AND THE WARMEST READINGS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN AR. THE
WARMUP WILL COMMENCE ONCE AGAIN FOR THE THU-FRI TIMEFRAME AS THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS OUT OF THE SW. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH ON FRIDAY AFTER PEAK HEATING, WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE FRIDAY NIGHT TIMEFRAME.
THE MAIN CHANGE WILL TAKE PLACE FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS YET
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH, BUT THIS ONE WILL LEAD THE
CHARGE OF AN ARCTIC AIRMASS. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPILL IN WITH
HIGHS ON SUNDAY LIKELY LIMITED TO THE 30S F FOR MUCH OF THE
STATE. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 20S F WILL BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AS
WELL.
WHILE THE STATE WILL BE IMPACTED BY THE COLD AIR, THE CENTER OF
THE SFC RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN
NORTHEAST OF THE STATE. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE COLDEST AIR BEING
WELL NE OF ARKANSAS BY HUNDREDS OF MILES. ALSO, THIS WILL LEAD TO
A PRETTY GOOD TEMPERATURE SPREAD FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE STATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THERE REMAINS VERY LITTLE SIGNAL FOR ANY MOISTURE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THE MAIN CHANGE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS IS THAT THERE COULD
BE SOME SHOWERS ON SATURDAY, WITH SOME LOW POPS INCLUDED WITH THIS
FORECAST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW STRATUS STILL HOLDING ON
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL, SOUTH, AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THIS
MORNING. THE LOW STRATUS WILL GRADUALLY ERODE ALLOWING LIFR/MVFR
CEILINGS TO LIFT TO VFR LATER BY SOMETIME THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TERMINALS. GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS ACROSS
NORTHERN TERMINALS AND UP TO 20 KTS AT ALL OTHER TERMINALS THIS
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE LATE TONIGHT
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH SOME LLWS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN TERMINALS. WINDS COULD AGAIN BE ON THE BREEZY SIDE OUT
OF THE NORTH/NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 41 56 33 54 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 39 61 32 57 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 43 51 32 57 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 41 58 34 56 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 41 58 34 55 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 42 61 35 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 42 60 34 58 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 41 53 31 55 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 41 56 34 51 / 10 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 40 60 33 55 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 39 59 33 58 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 39 58 32 54 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 41 58 34 53 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...76
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