891
FXUS64 KLZK 101109 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
509 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
- GUSTY NW WINDS WILL BE SEEN BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE STATE TODAY.
- NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN THROUGH FRIDAY
ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FROM
SATURDAY TO SUNDAY.
- COLD AIR WILL LINGER FOR A FEW DAYS BEFORE INCREASING BY
TUE/WED NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA AS
A STRONG SFC CYCLONE MOVES EAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES WHILE
RIDGING REMAINS ACROSS THE SE US. THIS HAS PROVIDED AN INCREASE IN
SW WINDS ACROSS THE STATE LATE TUESDAY INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AS THE SFC LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE EAST A TRAILING COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS FROM NW TO SE TODAY. IN ITS WAKE,
WINDS WILL SWITCH OUT OF THE NW AND WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH
WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE DURING THE
MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY.
THIS FRONT WILL PROVIDE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF COLD AIR WEDNESDAY
BUT WILL HELP TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR FREEZING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NW THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK, BUT LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE OUT OF THE SW.
THIS WILL PROVIDE WARMER TEMPERATURES THU-FRI. CHANGES WILL TAKE
PLACE THIS WEEKEND, AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN A MUCH
COLDER AIRMASS TO THE STATE. THE COLD AIR MAY NOT MAKE IT INTO THE
STATE UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT.
BEHIND THE FRONT, SFC RIDGING WILL OVERSPREAD THE STATE BY SUNDAY AND
LINGER THROUGH MONDAY. BUT, THIS ROUND OF COLD AIR ISN'T EXPECTED
TO STICK AROUND VERY LONG AS SFC RIDGING SHIFTS EAST AND THE H500
NW FLOW MOVES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO
INCREASING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 507 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. MAIN CONCERN IS THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT BRINGING
NW WINDS OF 10-20 KTS IN ITS WAKE WITH GUSTS OF 25 KTS POSSIBLE.
STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN AR TERMINALS. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN BY SUNSET. LLWS WILL REMAIN PRESENT FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AT MOST TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 56 32 52 40 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 60 32 56 40 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 51 31 56 42 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 58 33 54 40 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 59 34 54 40 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 61 34 56 42 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 59 33 57 42 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 52 30 54 39 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 56 33 51 40 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 60 33 55 40 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 58 33 57 38 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 58 32 52 37 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 57 33 52 40 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...67
AVIATION...67
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