480  
FNUS74 KLZK 150740  
FWSLZK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO POINT RX...BUFFALO NATIONAL RIVER - NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
140 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON DECEMBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (501) 834-3955 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE  
WEATHER FORECASTER IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
VERY COLD AND DRY AIR HAS SETTLED ACROSS THE REGION THIS  
MORNING...BUT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN LATER THIS  
AFTERNOON...WITH INCREASING MOISTURE LEVELS AND WARMER AIR  
EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. SOME CHANCES FOR RAINFALL  
RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT PRIMARILY THURSDAY AS A  
NEW COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE STATE.  
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38 AT IGNITION...MAX 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 21 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....5.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........25.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....42.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 2682 FT MSL.  
CATEGORY DAY........3.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2200 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............38 43 46 48 48 47 43  
RH..............26 22 22 21 22 23 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 15 14 12  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT  
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 28.  
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 75 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
LVORI...............2.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........5.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 1125 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 600 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............40 36 34 33 32 31 30 30 30 30 30 29  
RH..............33 38 41 45 47 51 55 55 58 63 66 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 7 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 8 7 7 7 7 8 9 9  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TUESDAY  
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 22  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
LVORI...............2 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........14 INCREASING TO 36 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....49.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 2729 FT MSL.  
CATEGORY DAY........3.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2200 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............30 30 33 39 45 50 55 57 57 57 55 52  
RH..............69 75 72 59 51 46 41 40 42 43 47 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 10 10 11 12 13 13 13 13 13  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 14 17 20 21 22 21 18 15  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
FORECASTER...62  
REQUESTED BY...FENN WIMBERLY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527630.0/LZK  
.DELDT 12/15/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FENN_WIMBERLY@NPS.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page