041
FXUS64 KLZK 262319
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
519 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 208 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- AN EXTREME COLD WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK, WITH
SUB-ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.
- HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THE BEGINNING PORTIONS OF THIS WEEK, AS MULTIPLE THAW AND
FREEZE CYCLES WILL UNFOLD, RESULTING IN SLIPPERY MORNING ROAD
CONDITIONS.
- WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING FOR THE NEXT WEEK,
WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF VERY COLD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE THIS
WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 208 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
RESIDUAL SNOW SHOWERS REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS,
BUT THE LAST REMNANTS OF THE WEEKEND WINTER STORM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE STATE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS CLEARING SKIES, WHICH IS CAUSING VERY COLD TEMPERATURES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS, WITH AREAS DIPPING BELOW ZERO FAVORING
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. COMBINED WITH
SOME RESIDUAL ELEVATED WINDS WOULD RESULT IN SOME WIND CHILL
VALUES -10 TO -20 DEGREES FOR CENTRAL TO NORTHERN ARKANSAS. WITH
THE ARCTIC AIRMASS SLOW TO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST, THE SNOWPACK IN
PLACE COMBINED WITH MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS TONIGHT, CONTINUED
VERY COLD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES/WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED AS THE
EXTREME COLD WARNING WILL LAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
FLOW ALOFT WILL TURN MORE WESTERLY AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS SLIDES
EASTWARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, RESULTING IN SOME WARMING
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER, THE LINGERING IMPACTS ON
SUFFICIENTLY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS (ESPECIALLY LESS TRAVELED
ROADS) MAY CONTINUE TO POSE TRAVEL ISSUES AS TEMPERATURES MAY
WARM ENOUGH TO MELT BUT REFREEZE THROUGH THE MIDDLE PORTIONS OF
THE WEEK.
MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE CONSISTENT WITH A REINFORCING
ARCTIC TROUGH COOLING TEMPERATURES AGAIN LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO
THIS WEEKEND. DEPENDING ON HOW FAR WEST THIS TROUGH DIGS WILL
IMPACT HOW COLD TEMPERATURES MAY GET AGAIN, WHICH AT THIS TIME
LOWS BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS (WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO) THIS
WEEKEND SEEMS TO BE A REASONABLE EXPECTATION AT THIS POINT.
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY AS FLOW ALOFT REMAINS OUT OF THE NORTH
AS THIS TROUGH AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. DURING THIS
PERIOD. UNCERTAINTIES INCREASE LATE THIS WEEKEND TO EARLY NEXT
WEEK REGARDING HOW LONG TROUGHING/NEGATIVE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT
ANOMALIES LINGER ACROSS THE REGION, WHICH WOULD IN TURN IMPACT HOW
QUICKLY CONDITIONS MAY WARM AGAIN. HOWEVER, THE CENTRAL TO
EASTERN U.S. WILL REMAIN BITTER COLD FOR THE BETTER OF THE NEXT
WEEK, IF NOT LONGER.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 506 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTH, THEN SOUTHWEST WITH SOME
BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL TAFS AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
PUSHES THROUGH THE STATE TUESDAY MORNING. IN ADDITIONAL TO THE
MORNING BREEZY CONDITIONS, LLWS 020/25045KT ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS
AROUND 03Z AND 020/25045KT ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TAF SITES
UNTIL 15Z AS THE WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXITS THE STATE BY EARLY
TUESDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 9 38 13 36 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 7 38 17 41 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 8 35 11 39 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 7 37 10 40 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 7 35 14 35 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 12 38 21 40 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 7 39 11 43 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 6 36 10 37 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 6 32 10 28 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 7 36 16 35 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 1 35 11 38 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 2 33 10 33 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 5 33 14 31 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR ARZ004>008-
014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113-
121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-
241-313-340-341.
DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...76
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page