976
FXUS64 KLZK 271150
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
550 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- AN EXTREME COLD WARNING WITH SUB-ZERO WIND CHILLS LINGERING INTO
TUESDAY MORNING.
- HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THE BEGINNING PORTIONS OF THIS WEEK, ESPECIALLY ON LESS
TRAVELED ROADS, AS MULTIPLE THAW AND FREEZE CYCLES WILL UNFOLD,
RESULTING IN SLIPPERY MORNING ROAD CONDITIONS.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING, WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER CONDITIONS ENCOMPASS THE REGION, AS MOST
PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS ARE UNDER CLEAR SKIES. WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW HAS SETTLED IN, SO THIS MARKS THE ONSET OF WARMING CONDITIONS
AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST OF ARKANSAS.
HOWEVER, VERY COLD WIND CHILLS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE -10 TO -15
DEGREE RANGE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT PROLONGS THE EXTREME COLD WARNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
THE OVERALL MID-LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL
REMAIN ZONAL FOR THE MOST PART, BUT A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
WILL BRING A COUPLE ROUNDS OF CLOUDY SKIES AND MAYBE EVEN SOME
LOW-END WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A WELL
DEFINED 850 MB TO SURFACE COLORADO LOW DEVELOPS WITH THIS SECOND
SHORTWAVE, ADVECTING JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE INTO THE REGION TO BRING
THOSE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER, SOME UNCERTAINTIES ON HOW
STRONG THIS LOW BECOMES AND HOW QUICKLY IT MOVES EASTWARD WOULD
AFFECT TRENDS UPWARDS OR DOWNWARDS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND
AMOUNTS FOR THE THURSDAY TO FRIDAY TIMEFRAME.
BEHIND THIS LOW WILL USHER IN THE NEXT ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR FOR
THIS WEEKEND. VERY COLD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ARE ANTICIPATED AS EARLY AS FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSISTING THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND THE
WEEKEND.
ONCE THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS BEGINS TO SLIDE EAST OF THE STATE GOING
INTO NEXT WEEK, MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED AS MID-
LEVEL RIDGING BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY AT THIS
POINT WILL BE HOW QUICKLY THE TROUGH AND THE COLDER AIR IN PLACE
WILL GET DISLODGED, BUT DEFINITELY WILL BE WARMING GOING INTO NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 550 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
SOME PATCHY MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS
CONTINUE TO LINGER INTO THE MORNING HOURS. THOSE CEILINGS ARE
ANTICIPATED TO SCATTER LATER THIS MORNING, WHERE SCT TO OVC HIGH
CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE STATE LATER TODAY. SOME 40-45 KT LLWS
EXPECTED TO LINGER MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN TERMINALS BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY MID-MORNING. SOME GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FAVORING
THE NORTHERN TERMINALS WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY, WITH MAINLY
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS SETTLING IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SOME
UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT,
AS SOME AREAS MAY SEE HIGH CLOUDS SCATTERING OVERNIGHT, WHICH
COULD RESULT IN FOG DEVELOPMENT. AT THIS TIME, THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES OF THIS OCCURRING IS ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS, THUS
INTRODUCED SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES LATE IN THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 36 16 36 20 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 41 19 45 22 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 35 14 41 20 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 39 18 41 22 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 36 18 36 22 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 43 24 45 27 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 42 17 45 22 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 36 12 40 18 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 32 15 30 19 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 38 19 38 22 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 34 17 38 22 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 33 15 33 18 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 33 17 32 21 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR ARZ004>008-014>017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113-121>123-
130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-
340-341.
DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...77
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