455
FXUS64 KLZK 271638
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1038 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- AN EXTREME COLD WARNING WITH SUB-ZERO WIND CHILLS LINGERING INTO
TUESDAY MORNING.
- HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THE BEGINNING PORTIONS OF THIS WEEK, ESPECIALLY ON LESS
TRAVELED ROADS, AS MULTIPLE THAW AND FREEZE CYCLES WILL UNFOLD,
RESULTING IN SLIPPERY MORNING ROAD CONDITIONS.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING, WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER CONDITIONS ENCOMPASS THE REGION, AS MOST
PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS ARE UNDER CLEAR SKIES. WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW HAS SETTLED IN, SO THIS MARKS THE ONSET OF WARMING CONDITIONS
AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST OF ARKANSAS.
HOWEVER, VERY COLD WIND CHILLS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE -10 TO -15
DEGREE RANGE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT PROLONGS THE EXTREME COLD WARNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
THE OVERALL MID-LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL
REMAIN ZONAL FOR THE MOST PART, BUT A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
WILL BRING A COUPLE ROUNDS OF CLOUDY SKIES AND MAYBE EVEN SOME
LOW-END WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A WELL
DEFINED 850 MB TO SURFACE COLORADO LOW DEVELOPS WITH THIS SECOND
SHORTWAVE, ADVECTING JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE INTO THE REGION TO BRING
THOSE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER, SOME UNCERTAINTIES ON HOW
STRONG THIS LOW BECOMES AND HOW QUICKLY IT MOVES EASTWARD WOULD
AFFECT TRENDS UPWARDS OR DOWNWARDS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND
AMOUNTS FOR THE THURSDAY TO FRIDAY TIMEFRAME.
BEHIND THIS LOW WILL USHER IN THE NEXT ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR FOR
THIS WEEKEND. VERY COLD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ARE ANTICIPATED AS EARLY AS FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSISTING THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND THE
WEEKEND.
ONCE THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS BEGINS TO SLIDE EAST OF THE STATE GOING
INTO NEXT WEEK, MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED AS MID-
LEVEL RIDGING BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY AT THIS
POINT WILL BE HOW QUICKLY THE TROUGH AND THE COLDER AIR IN PLACE
WILL GET DISLODGED, BUT DEFINITELY WILL BE WARMING GOING INTO NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1038 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR THE A GOOD PORTION OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD BETWEEN TUESDAY MIDDAY AND WEDNESDAY MIDDAY. THE EXCEPTION
WILL BE VSBY THAT MAY DROP OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN, CENTRAL,
AND NORTHERN TERMINALS, THIS WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF FREE. THIS ZING
FOG EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THAT WOULD LIFT AND BECOME VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY BY MIDDAY ON WEDNESDAY. THE UNCERTAINTY OF FOG LOCATION AND
INTENSITY HAS LED TO THIS CONDITION BEING CAPTURED BY TEMPO GROUPS.
KBPK REMAINS DESIGNATED "AMD NOT SKED" DUE TO A COMMUNICATION ISSUE
THAT IS BEING TROUBLESHOT AT THE CURRENT TIME, BUT EXPECT THE SITE
TO REMAIN "AMD NOT SKED" UNTIL OBSERVATIONS RETURN TO THE SITE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 40 16 36 20 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 42 19 45 22 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 39 14 41 20 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 40 18 41 22 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 38 18 36 22 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 43 24 45 27 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 44 17 45 22 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 40 12 40 18 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 36 15 30 19 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 39 19 38 22 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 39 17 38 22 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 37 15 33 18 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 35 17 32 21 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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