125
FXUS64 KLZK 272309
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
509 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- AN EXTREME COLD WARNING WITH SUB-ZERO WIND CHILLS LINGERING INTO
TUESDAY MORNING.
- HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THE BEGINNING PORTIONS OF THIS WEEK, ESPECIALLY ON LESS
TRAVELED ROADS, AS MULTIPLE THAW AND FREEZE CYCLES WILL UNFOLD,
RESULTING IN SLIPPERY MORNING ROAD CONDITIONS.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING, WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER CONDITIONS ENCOMPASS THE REGION, AS MOST
PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS ARE UNDER CLEAR SKIES. WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW HAS SETTLED IN, SO THIS MARKS THE ONSET OF WARMING CONDITIONS
AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST OF ARKANSAS.
HOWEVER, VERY COLD WIND CHILLS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE -10 TO -15
DEGREE RANGE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT PROLONGS THE EXTREME COLD WARNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
THE OVERALL MID-LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL
REMAIN ZONAL FOR THE MOST PART, BUT A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
WILL BRING A COUPLE ROUNDS OF CLOUDY SKIES AND MAYBE EVEN SOME
LOW-END WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A WELL
DEFINED 850 MB TO SURFACE COLORADO LOW DEVELOPS WITH THIS SECOND
SHORTWAVE, ADVECTING JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE INTO THE REGION TO BRING
THOSE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER, SOME UNCERTAINTIES ON HOW
STRONG THIS LOW BECOMES AND HOW QUICKLY IT MOVES EASTWARD WOULD
AFFECT TRENDS UPWARDS OR DOWNWARDS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND
AMOUNTS FOR THE THURSDAY TO FRIDAY TIMEFRAME.
BEHIND THIS LOW WILL USHER IN THE NEXT ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR FOR
THIS WEEKEND. VERY COLD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ARE ANTICIPATED AS EARLY AS FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSISTING THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND THE
WEEKEND.
ONCE THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS BEGINS TO SLIDE EAST OF THE STATE GOING
INTO NEXT WEEK, MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED AS MID-
LEVEL RIDGING BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY AT THIS
POINT WILL BE HOW QUICKLY THE TROUGH AND THE COLDER AIR IN PLACE
WILL GET DISLODGED, BUT DEFINITELY WILL BE WARMING GOING INTO NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 459 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH A LARGE MAJORITY OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SATELLITE THIS EVENING SHOWS HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDINESS STREAMING IN FROM THE WEST FROM TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA INTO
AND ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE. SOME SHORT TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO
HINT AT FREEZING FOG DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE STATE AND WITHIN THE RIVER VALLEYS AROUND 07Z AND
PERSISTING THROUGH 14Z WEDNESDAY MORNING.
IF CLOUDS DO CLEAR OUT AND THE CURRENT VERY SHALLOW MOIST LAYER
EXPANDS IN DEPTH, THEN FREEZE FOG POTENTIAL MAY MATERIALIZE IN
THOSE AREAS. AT THIS TIME, HAVE ELECTED TO KEEP TEMPO GROUPS IN
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TAF SITES TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY.
OTHERWISE, LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 15 39 21 38 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 19 45 22 50 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 14 43 21 42 / 0 0 0 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 18 44 22 45 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 18 38 22 42 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 24 44 25 49 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 18 47 22 47 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 12 40 19 39 / 0 0 0 10
NEWPORT AR 13 33 19 35 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 19 39 22 45 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 15 42 22 44 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 14 36 17 39 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 18 35 22 42 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...76
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