228
FXUS64 KLZK 280533
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1133 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- AN EXTREME COLD WARNING WITH SUB-ZERO WIND CHILLS LINGERING INTO
TUESDAY MORNING.
- HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THE BEGINNING PORTIONS OF THIS WEEK, ESPECIALLY ON LESS
TRAVELED ROADS, AS MULTIPLE THAW AND FREEZE CYCLES WILL UNFOLD,
RESULTING IN SLIPPERY MORNING ROAD CONDITIONS.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING, WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER CONDITIONS ENCOMPASS THE REGION, AS MOST
PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS ARE UNDER CLEAR SKIES. WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW HAS SETTLED IN, SO THIS MARKS THE ONSET OF WARMING CONDITIONS
AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST OF ARKANSAS.
HOWEVER, VERY COLD WIND CHILLS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE -10 TO -15
DEGREE RANGE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT PROLONGS THE EXTREME COLD WARNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
THE OVERALL MID-LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL
REMAIN ZONAL FOR THE MOST PART, BUT A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
WILL BRING A COUPLE ROUNDS OF CLOUDY SKIES AND MAYBE EVEN SOME
LOW-END WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A WELL
DEFINED 850 MB TO SURFACE COLORADO LOW DEVELOPS WITH THIS SECOND
SHORTWAVE, ADVECTING JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE INTO THE REGION TO BRING
THOSE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER, SOME UNCERTAINTIES ON HOW
STRONG THIS LOW BECOMES AND HOW QUICKLY IT MOVES EASTWARD WOULD
AFFECT TRENDS UPWARDS OR DOWNWARDS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND
AMOUNTS FOR THE THURSDAY TO FRIDAY TIMEFRAME.
BEHIND THIS LOW WILL USHER IN THE NEXT ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR FOR
THIS WEEKEND. VERY COLD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ARE ANTICIPATED AS EARLY AS FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSISTING THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND THE
WEEKEND.
ONCE THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS BEGINS TO SLIDE EAST OF THE STATE GOING
INTO NEXT WEEK, MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED AS MID-
LEVEL RIDGING BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY AT THIS
POINT WILL BE HOW QUICKLY THE TROUGH AND THE COLDER AIR IN PLACE
WILL GET DISLODGED, BUT DEFINITELY WILL BE WARMING GOING INTO NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1131 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
PREVAILING VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME A MIX OF VFR AT NRN
TERMINALS, TO IFR/LIFR VIS AS FZFG IS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP
BEFORE SUNRISE. WIND WILL BE LIGHT WITH HIGH CLOUDS NOTED. CONDS
WILL IMPROVE ON WED AS VIS IMPROVE AND SKIES BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY.
WINDS ON WED WITH BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT AROUND 5 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 45 15 40 22 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 44 20 46 23 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 41 14 44 22 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 42 18 44 23 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 43 19 40 23 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 44 24 45 26 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 45 18 48 22 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 42 13 41 20 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 39 15 33 20 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 43 21 40 23 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 42 17 42 23 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 41 15 37 19 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 41 19 35 22 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70
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