448
FXUS64 KLZK 281212
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
612 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
-HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY AND COUNTRY ROADS, AS
DENSE SNOW/SLEET PACK SLOWLY ERODE.
-BRIEF BOUT OF VERY LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
EVENING INTO EARLY FRIDAY. LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED
-ANOTHER ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR IS EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND WITH
GRADUALLY WARMING TREND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WITHIN BACKGROUND NW
FLOW. PRECIP WAS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER FEATURE AND
CLOUDS SHOULD DECREASE IN COVERAGE HEADING INTO LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. CURRENT CONDS TO THE W OF AR FEATURED
PATCHY AREAS OF FREEZING FOG WHICH MAY SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF SW,
CNTRL, AND E-CNTRL AR DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS. THUS, WILL
MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A FREEZING FOG ADVISORY EXPANSION
FOR SOME PORTIONS OF THE STATE IF VISIBILITIES DECREASE. MORNING
TEMPS WERE HOVERING IN THE 20S.
A BRIEF LULL BITTERLY COLD TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, THURSDAY, AND
SOME OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY (MAINLY SW AR). HIGHS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE 40S ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF
THE CWA. THESE TEMPS COMBINED WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ON THURSDAY WILL AID IN EFFICIENT
MELTING OF A DENSE SNOW/SLEET PACK WHICH HAS BEEN IN PLACE ACROSS
STATE FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW.
BY THURSDAY EVENING, ANOTHER WEAK COMPACT UPPER IMPULSE WITH AN
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE REGION INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. SHORT DURATION RETURN FLOW ON THURSDAY SHOULD LIMIT
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AS THESE FEATURES SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE. AT THIS
TIME, THERE COULD BE LIGHT MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER OVER N-CNTRL/NE AR
WITH PERHAPS A FEW RAIN SHOWERS OVER CNTRL AR. QPF AMOUNTS APPEAR TO
BE AROUND 0.10 OR LESS WITH THIS SYSTEM. LIMITED SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND HALF OF AN INCH OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER N-CNTRL AR, OTHERWISE LITTLE ADDITIONAL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
AVAILABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE MONITORED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS FOR INCREASES/DECREASES TO QPF POTENTIAL.
ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC COLD AND DRY AIR IS EXPECTED HEADING INTO
THE WEEKEND. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, 1040-1045MB SURFACE HIGH SHOULD
BE CENTERED OVER THE REGION. THE COLDEST DAY SHOULD BE SATURDAY WITH
HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OUT THE LOW/MID 20S (CNTRL/N AR) TO NEAR 30 (S
AR). LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS (CNTRL/N AR) TO MID TEENS (SRN AR). WIND CHILLS
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING COULD FEEL LIKE 5 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO (CNTRL/NRN AR) TO SINGLE DIGITS (SRN AR). IF THESE
WIND CHILL VALUES REMAIN UNCHANGED, COLD WEATHER HEADLINES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE.
PROGRESSIVE H500 PATTERN WILL EJECT NW FLOW REGIME AND THE
SURFACE HIGH TOWARDS THE E WITH RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. A NICE WARM UP IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
SURFACE WINDS SWITCH AROUND THE S/SW. UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL
TRANSITION FROM NW TO QUASI-ZONAL. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO
THE 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES. MELTING OF REMAINING SNOW/SLEET PACK
WILL COMMENCE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 538 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
MIX OF VFR AT NRN TERMINALS, TO IFR/LIFR VIS, ACROSS CNTRL/SRN
SITES AS FZFG IS SLOWLY DEVELOPING BEFORE AND NEAR SUNRISE. IF FG
HOLDS OFF, CONDS MAY REMAIN VFR. CONDS WILL IMPROVE MID MORNING
AS VIS IMPROVE AND SKC RETURN. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND W/SW AT
AROUND 5 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 40 22 39 20 / 0 0 10 20
CAMDEN AR 46 23 51 28 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 44 22 43 17 / 0 0 10 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 44 23 46 26 / 0 0 10 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 40 23 42 24 / 0 0 0 20
MONTICELLO AR 45 26 51 28 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 48 22 48 26 / 0 0 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 41 20 40 17 / 0 0 10 20
NEWPORT AR 33 20 37 20 / 0 0 0 20
PINE BLUFF AR 40 23 47 25 / 0 0 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 42 23 45 24 / 0 0 10 20
SEARCY AR 37 19 40 20 / 0 0 0 20
STUTTGART AR 35 22 42 24 / 0 0 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR ARZ024-
025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>064-066>068-121>123-130-137-
138-140-141-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...70
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page