377
FXUS64 KLZK 281741 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1141 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
-HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY AND COUNTRY ROADS, AS
DENSE SNOW/SLEET PACK SLOWLY ERODE.
-BRIEF BOUT OF VERY LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
EVENING INTO EARLY FRIDAY. LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED
-ANOTHER ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR IS EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND WITH
GRADUALLY WARMING TREND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WITHIN BACKGROUND NW
FLOW. PRECIP WAS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER FEATURE AND
CLOUDS SHOULD DECREASE IN COVERAGE HEADING INTO LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. CURRENT CONDS TO THE W OF AR FEATURED
PATCHY AREAS OF FREEZING FOG WHICH MAY SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF SW,
CNTRL, AND E-CNTRL AR DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS. THUS, WILL
MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A FREEZING FOG ADVISORY EXPANSION
FOR SOME PORTIONS OF THE STATE IF VISIBILITIES DECREASE. MORNING
TEMPS WERE HOVERING IN THE 20S.
A BRIEF LULL BITTERLY COLD TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, THURSDAY, AND
SOME OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY (MAINLY SW AR). HIGHS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE 40S ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF
THE CWA. THESE TEMPS COMBINED WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ON THURSDAY WILL AID IN EFFICIENT
MELTING OF A DENSE SNOW/SLEET PACK WHICH HAS BEEN IN PLACE ACROSS
STATE FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW.
BY THURSDAY EVENING, ANOTHER WEAK COMPACT UPPER IMPULSE WITH AN
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE REGION INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. SHORT DURATION RETURN FLOW ON THURSDAY SHOULD LIMIT
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AS THESE FEATURES SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE. AT THIS
TIME, THERE COULD BE LIGHT MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER OVER N-CNTRL/NE AR
WITH PERHAPS A FEW RAIN SHOWERS OVER CNTRL AR. QPF AMOUNTS APPEAR TO
BE AROUND 0.10 OR LESS WITH THIS SYSTEM. LIMITED SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND HALF OF AN INCH OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER N-CNTRL AR, OTHERWISE LITTLE ADDITIONAL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
AVAILABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE MONITORED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS FOR INCREASES/DECREASES TO QPF POTENTIAL.
ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC COLD AND DRY AIR IS EXPECTED HEADING INTO
THE WEEKEND. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, 1040-1045MB SURFACE HIGH SHOULD
BE CENTERED OVER THE REGION. THE COLDEST DAY SHOULD BE SATURDAY WITH
HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OUT THE LOW/MID 20S (CNTRL/N AR) TO NEAR 30 (S
AR). LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS (CNTRL/N AR) TO MID TEENS (SRN AR). WIND CHILLS
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING COULD FEEL LIKE 5 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO (CNTRL/NRN AR) TO SINGLE DIGITS (SRN AR). IF THESE
WIND CHILL VALUES REMAIN UNCHANGED, COLD WEATHER HEADLINES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE.
PROGRESSIVE H500 PATTERN WILL EJECT NW FLOW REGIME AND THE
SURFACE HIGH TOWARDS THE E WITH RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. A NICE WARM UP IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
SURFACE WINDS SWITCH AROUND THE S/SW. UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL
TRANSITION FROM NW TO QUASI-ZONAL. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO
THE 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES. MELTING OF REMAINING SNOW/SLEET PACK
WILL COMMENCE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1139 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS, INCLUDING LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD. SOME FG OR FZFG MAY DEVELOP
THURSDAY MORNING, WHICH COULD IMPACT CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AR
TERMINALS BETWEEN 29-06Z TO 29/15Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 21 39 22 32 / 0 0 20 0
CAMDEN AR 23 52 30 40 / 0 0 10 0
HARRISON AR 23 43 19 31 / 0 10 10 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 23 47 28 39 / 0 0 10 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 23 43 26 35 / 0 0 10 0
MONTICELLO AR 26 50 31 37 / 0 0 10 0
MOUNT IDA AR 23 48 28 40 / 0 0 10 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 21 41 18 31 / 0 10 20 0
NEWPORT AR 20 36 22 30 / 0 0 20 0
PINE BLUFF AR 24 47 27 35 / 0 0 10 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 22 46 25 38 / 0 0 10 0
SEARCY AR 19 40 23 33 / 0 0 20 0
STUTTGART AR 22 43 25 33 / 0 0 10 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...67
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