265
FXUS64 KLZK 290609
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1209 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
-HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY AND COUNTRY ROADS, AS
DENSE SNOW/SLEET PACK SLOWLY ERODE.
-BRIEF BOUT OF VERY LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
EVENING INTO EARLY FRIDAY. LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED
-ANOTHER ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR IS EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND WITH
GRADUALLY WARMING TREND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WITHIN BACKGROUND NW
FLOW. PRECIP WAS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER FEATURE AND
CLOUDS SHOULD DECREASE IN COVERAGE HEADING INTO LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. CURRENT CONDS TO THE W OF AR FEATURED
PATCHY AREAS OF FREEZING FOG WHICH MAY SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF SW,
CNTRL, AND E-CNTRL AR DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS. THUS, WILL
MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A FREEZING FOG ADVISORY EXPANSION
FOR SOME PORTIONS OF THE STATE IF VISIBILITIES DECREASE. MORNING
TEMPS WERE HOVERING IN THE 20S.
A BRIEF LULL BITTERLY COLD TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, THURSDAY, AND
SOME OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY (MAINLY SW AR). HIGHS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE 40S ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF
THE CWA. THESE TEMPS COMBINED WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ON THURSDAY WILL AID IN EFFICIENT
MELTING OF A DENSE SNOW/SLEET PACK WHICH HAS BEEN IN PLACE ACROSS
STATE FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW.
BY THURSDAY EVENING, ANOTHER WEAK COMPACT UPPER IMPULSE WITH AN
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE REGION INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. SHORT DURATION RETURN FLOW ON THURSDAY SHOULD LIMIT
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AS THESE FEATURES SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE. AT THIS
TIME, THERE COULD BE LIGHT MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER OVER N-CNTRL/NE AR
WITH PERHAPS A FEW RAIN SHOWERS OVER CNTRL AR. QPF AMOUNTS APPEAR TO
BE AROUND 0.10 OR LESS WITH THIS SYSTEM. LIMITED SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND HALF OF AN INCH OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER N-CNTRL AR, OTHERWISE LITTLE ADDITIONAL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
AVAILABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE MONITORED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS FOR INCREASES/DECREASES TO QPF POTENTIAL.
ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC COLD AND DRY AIR IS EXPECTED HEADING INTO
THE WEEKEND. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, 1040-1045MB SURFACE HIGH SHOULD
BE CENTERED OVER THE REGION. THE COLDEST DAY SHOULD BE SATURDAY WITH
HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OUT THE LOW/MID 20S (CNTRL/N AR) TO NEAR 30 (S
AR). LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS (CNTRL/N AR) TO MID TEENS (SRN AR). WIND CHILLS
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING COULD FEEL LIKE 5 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO (CNTRL/NRN AR) TO SINGLE DIGITS (SRN AR). IF THESE
WIND CHILL VALUES REMAIN UNCHANGED, COLD WEATHER HEADLINES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE.
PROGRESSIVE H500 PATTERN WILL EJECT NW FLOW REGIME AND THE
SURFACE HIGH TOWARDS THE E WITH RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. A NICE WARM UP IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
SURFACE WINDS SWITCH AROUND THE S/SW. UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL
TRANSITION FROM NW TO QUASI-ZONAL. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO
THE 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES. MELTING OF REMAINING SNOW/SLEET PACK
WILL COMMENCE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
VFR CONDS ARE ANTICIPATED AT MANY AREA TERMINALS OVERNIGHT,
HOWEVER MVFR VIS IS POSSIBLE DUE TO PATCHY FG DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN
8-13Z THURS. VIS WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE MORNING BUT MVFR CIGS
ARE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON WITH THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE. MENTIONED PROB30 GROUPS BEGINNING AROUND 00Z FRI
FEATURING SHSN OVER NRN SITES, TO SHRA OVER CNTRL SITES. CNTRL
LOCATIONS COULD SEE A MIX OF PRECIP TYPES. OVERALL, PRECIP WILL
BE LIGHT WITH LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL WEATHER IMPACTS EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 40 22 33 10 / 10 30 0 10
CAMDEN AR 52 30 39 14 / 0 10 0 10
HARRISON AR 41 20 31 6 / 10 30 0 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 48 28 38 12 / 0 20 0 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 43 26 35 13 / 10 30 0 10
MONTICELLO AR 51 30 38 16 / 0 10 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 49 28 40 11 / 10 20 0 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 39 19 31 7 / 10 30 0 10
NEWPORT AR 37 22 31 12 / 0 30 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 47 28 35 14 / 0 20 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 45 25 38 11 / 10 30 0 10
SEARCY AR 41 22 34 10 / 0 30 0 10
STUTTGART AR 43 26 34 14 / 0 20 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page