833
FXUS64 KLZK 291139
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
539 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 130 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
-HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY AND COUNTRY ROADS, AS DENSE
SNOW/SLEET PACK SLOWLY ERODE
-BRIEF BOUT OF VERY LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
EVENING/EARLY FRIDAY. LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED
-ANOTHER ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR, INCLUDING POSSIBLE SNOW FLURRIES
FRIDAY NIGHT, IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
-WARMING TREND ANTICIPATED EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH POPS INCREASING
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
HIGH CLOUDS WERE INCREASING THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT
WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS WITHIN BACKGROUND NW
FLOW. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL OF PATCHY
FREEZING FOG ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE THROUGH THE PREDAWN
HOURS AS TEMPS HOVER MAINLY IN THE 20S. BLACK ICE AND/OR
REFREEZING OF SLUSH AND SNOW WILL MAKE THE NEXT SEVERAL MORNING'S
COMMUTE TREACHEROUS, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY AND COUNTRY ROADS.
THE MAIN THOROUGHFARES HAVE IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO DAILY
SNOW/ICE REMOVAL AND TREATING OF THOSE ROADWAYS.
A BRIEF LULL IN COLD TEMPS IS EXPECTED TODAY. TEMPS ARE
ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS A GOOD PORTION
OF THE CWA WITH 50S POSSIBLE OVER FAR S AND SW AR. THESE TEMPS
WILL AID IN A CONTINUATION OF MELTING A DENSE SNOW/SLEET PACK.
BASED ON 12Z THURSDAY SNOW DEPTH NUMBERS, ON AVERAGE, 2-6" OF
SNOW/SLEET REMAINED ACROSS A LARGE PART OF AR.
BY THIS EVENING, THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE WITH AN ASSOCIATED
WEAKENING SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE REGION INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. SHORT DURATION RETURN FLOW TODAY SHOULD LIMIT
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AS THESE FEATURES SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE. AT
THIS TIME, THERE COULD BE LIGHT MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER OVER
N-CNTRL/NE AR WITH PERHAPS A FEW RAIN SHOWERS LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
OVER CNTRL AR. QPF AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE AROUND 0.10 OR LESS WITH
THIS SYSTEM. LIMITED SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE HALF OF AN
INCH OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER N-CNTRL AR, OTHERWISE LITTLE
ADDITIONAL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL INTRUDE THE STATE HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND. SNOW FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS ERN HALF
OF AR AS COLD AIR SQUEEZES OUT ANY AVAILABLE MOISTURE BENEATH A
PASSING POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH. BY SATURDAY NIGHT, 1040-
1045MB SURFACE HIGH SHOULD BE CENTERED OVER THE REGION. THE COLDEST
DAY SHOULD BE SATURDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OUT THE LOW/MID 20S
(CNTRL/N AR) TO NEAR 30 (S AR). LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT
ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS (N AR) TO LOWER/MID TEENS
(CNTRL/SRN AR). WIND CHILLS FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING COULD FEEL
LIKE 0 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO (CNTRL/NRN AR) TO SINGLE DIGITS (SRN
AR). IF THESE WIND CHILL VALUES REMAIN IN THIS RANGE, A COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
A NICE WARM UP IS EXPECTED EARLY-TO-MID WEEK AS SURFACE WINDS SWITCH
AROUND THE S/SW IN RESPONSE TO DEPARTING ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE. UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN WILL TRANSITION FROM NWRLY TO QUASI-ZONAL. POP CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE, AS LIQUID THIS TIME, THROUGH THE END
OF THE PERIOD. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE 40S TO NEAR 50
DEGREES. MELTING OF REMAINING SNOW/SLEET PACK WILL CONTINUE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 536 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
PREVAILING VFR CONDS SHOULD BECOME MVFR CIGS BY AFTERNOON/EVENING
WITH THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. MENTIONED PROB30
GROUPS BEGINNING AROUND 00Z THROUGH 06Z FRI FEATURING SHSN OVER
NRN SITES, TO SHRA OVER CNTRL SITES. CNTRL LOCATIONS COULD SEE A
MIX OF PRECIP TYPES. OVERALL, PRECIP WILL BE LIGHT WITH LITTLE TO
NO ADDITIONAL WEATHER IMPACTS EXPECTED. IFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE
PRECIP ENDS AND WINDS SHIFT TO THE N/NE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 40 22 33 10 / 10 30 0 10
CAMDEN AR 52 30 39 14 / 0 10 0 10
HARRISON AR 41 20 31 6 / 10 30 0 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 48 28 38 12 / 0 20 0 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 43 26 35 13 / 10 30 0 10
MONTICELLO AR 51 30 38 16 / 0 10 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 49 28 40 11 / 10 20 0 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 39 19 31 7 / 10 30 0 10
NEWPORT AR 37 22 31 12 / 0 30 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 47 28 35 14 / 0 20 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 45 25 38 11 / 10 30 0 10
SEARCY AR 41 22 34 10 / 0 30 0 10
STUTTGART AR 43 26 34 14 / 0 20 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...70
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