301
FXUS64 KLZK 300800
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
200 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 145 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
-HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY AND COUNTRY ROADS, AS A DENSE SNOW
AND SLEET PACK SLOWLY ERODE
-ANOTHER INTRUSION OF ARCTIC AIR, INCLUDING POSSIBLE SNOW
FLURRIES TONIGHT, IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO THE WEEKEND
-WARMING TREND ANTICIPATED EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH POPS INCREASING
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 145 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
A COMBO OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS WERE STREAMING ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
THIS FRIDAY MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK PASSING UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM. A FEW SNOW FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE DAYLIGHT OTHERWISE
INCREASING CLOUDS WILL BE THE ONLY NOTICEABLE FEATURE. TEMPS ACROSS
THE STATE RANGED FROM THE MID 20S TO AROUND 40 DEGREES. WHERE TEMPS
WERE BELOW FREEZING (CNTRL AND N AR), BLACK ICE AND/OR REFREEZING OF
SLUSH AND SNOW WILL MAKE THE MORNING COMMUTE TREACHEROUS, ESPECIALLY
ON SECONDARY AND COUNTRY ROADS. THIS THAW/REFREEZE CYCLE IS
ANTICIPATED GO ON INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SNOW FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN
TONIGHT ACROSS AR AS COLD AIR SQUEEZES OUT ANY AVAILABLE MOISTURE
BENEATH A PASSING POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH. BY SATURDAY
NIGHT, 1040-1045MB SURFACE HIGH SHOULD BE CENTERED OVER THE
REGION. THE COLDEST DAY SHOULD BE SATURDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY TOPPING
OUT THE MID/UPPER 20S (CNTRL/N AR) TO LOWER 30S (S AR). LOWS
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS (N AR) TO LOWER/MID TEENS (CNTRL/SRN AR). WIND
CHILLS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING COULD FEEL LIKE 0-10
DEGREES BELOW ZERO (CNTRL/NRN AR) TO 0-5 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO (SRN
AR). GIVEN THESE EXPECTED RANGES OF WIND CHILLS, A COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
A NICE WARM UP IS EXPECTED EARLY-TO-MID WEEK AS SURFACE WINDS SWITCH
AROUND THE S/SW IN RESPONSE TO DEPARTING ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE. UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN WILL TRANSITION FROM NWRLY TO QUASI-ZONAL. POP CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPS
ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES. MELTING OF
REMAINING SNOW/SLEET PACK WILL CONTINUE. A COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH TEMPS RETURNING TO NEAR AVERAGE INTO
THURSDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
NORTHERLY WINDS WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS 15-20 KNOTS BEGINNING
TO OVERTAKE THE REGION, WITH THIS GENERAL FLOW PATTERN THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES FAVORING CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. VFR CEILINGS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL, SO NOT ANTICIPATING
ANY ISSUES UNTIL POTENTIALLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON WHEN SOME MVFR
CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. HIGHER
PROBABILITIES OF MORE WIDESPREAD MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE LATE IN
THE PERIOD FRIDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 33 11 27 12 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 40 15 31 15 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 31 7 24 11 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 39 11 30 14 / 0 10 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 36 14 27 15 / 0 10 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 38 17 29 17 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 40 11 31 14 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 30 8 26 9 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 31 13 27 11 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 35 15 27 15 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 39 11 30 14 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 34 11 27 11 / 0 10 0 0
STUTTGART AR 33 14 27 14 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST SATURDAY
FOR ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-
062>069-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-
221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...77
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