869
FXUS64 KLZK 010547
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1147 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 143 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
-VERY COLD CONDITIONS THIS MORNING...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND TEENS...AND WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO FOR MOST OF CENTRAL
TO NORTHERN ARKANSAS
-FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN TONIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING. NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS EXPECTED
-WARMER CONDITIONS RETURN EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
-CHANCES FOR SHOWERS RETURN TO THE FORECAST WITH THE WARMER MID
WEEK WEATHER
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 143 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
A NEW ARCTIC FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE STATE THIS EVENING...WITH
BREEZY NRLY WINDS NOTED LATE FRI EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HRS
THIS SAT MORNING. AHEAD OF THE UPPER SHORTWAVE DROPPING SOUTH...SOME
PATCHY FLURRIES WERE NOTED DROPPING SOUTH OVER THE STATE. WHILE MOST
AREAS WILL SEE ONLY A FEW FLAKES...THERE MAY BE SOME AREAS THAT SEE
A FEW MORE INTENSE POCKETS OF LIGHT SNOW WHERE A DUSTING MAY
ACCUMULATE. NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER.
TEMPS BY AROUND SUNRISE WILL PLUMMET BEHIND THIS ARCTIC FRONT...WITH
LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS. WITH THESE TEMPS...AND THE
BREEZY WINDS...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DIP WELL BELOW ZERO FOR MOST
AREAS...WITH SOME SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS SRN SECTIONS. WILL KEEP THE
COLD WX ADV GOING FOR THIS MORNING AS A RESULT OF THESE COLD
CONDITIONS.
WINDS WILL RELAX BY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT LOWS IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS
ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT INTO SUN MORNING. ANOTHER UPPER DISTURBANCE LOOKS
TO DROP SOUTH OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE...WITH SOME MORE POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW FLURRIES AGAIN TONIGHT. NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY AS WELL.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH WARMER
CONDITIONS RETURNING. BY LATE MON AND ESPECIALLY ON TUE...SRLY FLOW
WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER DISTURBANCE THAT WILL
MOVE EAST OVER THE REGION. TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE FREEZING...AND
WHAT PRECIP WILL BE SEEN WITH THIS UPPER WAVE WILL BE MAINLY
SCATTERED SHRA...MAYBE EVEN AN ISOLATED TSRA.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION BY THE
MIDDLE/LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK. COOLER AIR WILL THEN RETURN TO THE
STATE BY LATE IN THE FORECAST...BUT NOT AS COLD AS THE MOST RECENT
COLD AIR MASS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
NO AVIATION CONCERNS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME SNOW SHOWERS PUSHING
IN FROM THE NORTH MAY CLIP A COUPLE OF THE WESTERN TERMINALS
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, BUT PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW TO
INCLUDE IN THE TAF'S. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT EXPECTED TO BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON, WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO
20 KNOTS. OTHERWISE, SKIES WILL BE SCT TO BKN OVERNIGHT, THEN BKN
TO OVC MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 27 12 37 24 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 35 18 46 25 / 0 10 0 0
HARRISON AR 23 12 42 27 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 32 17 42 25 / 0 10 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 28 16 39 24 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 30 18 43 27 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 31 17 45 27 / 0 10 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 26 9 40 21 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 26 9 33 21 / 0 0 10 0
PINE BLUFF AR 29 14 41 25 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 28 17 43 24 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 29 11 37 21 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 27 12 36 24 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...77
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