833
FXUS64 KLZK 010612
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1212 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
-COLD CONDITIONS THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE
REGION
-WARMING CONDTIONS EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY...WITH SOME CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS RETURNING TO THE FORECAST ON TUESDAY
-SLIGHT COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY MID-WEEK...BUT WILL BE
SHORT- LIVED AS WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY LATE THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
MOSTLY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE EARLY
THIS SUN MORNING AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE IS SETTLING ACROSS THE REGION.
A WEAK UPPER WAVE IS PASSING JUST WEST OF AR...WHICH IS CREATING
SOME CLOUD COVER AND POSSIBLY A FEW SCATTERED FLURRIES ACROSS FAR
WRN SECTIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. OTHERWISE...TEMPS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST
AREAS...WITH SOME SINGLE DIGIT LOWS POSSIBLE ACROSS NERN SECTIONS
WHERE CLOUDS WILL BE MORE LIMITED.
THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT SE BY SUN AFTERNOON...WITH A RETURN OF SRLY
FLOW. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPS TO BEGIN A WARMING TREND OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. FOR TODAY...TEMPS WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO MAYBE 15 DEG
WARMER THAN OBSERVED ON SAT...WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
THE SRLY SFC FLOW WILL PERSIST INTO TUE...WITH TEMPS EACH DAY
WARMING FURTHER. HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE 50S FOR MOST AREAS MON AND
TUE...WITH A FEW AREAS APPROACHING THE LOW 60S. THE SRLY FLOW WILL
ALSO ALLOW FOR SOME INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
UPPER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION ON TUE.
CHANCES FOR SHRA RETURN TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS UPPER WAVE...WITH
A NEW COLD FRONT PROGRESSING EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON TUE.
TEMPS WILL COOL BACK DOWN SOME FOR WED AND THU BEHIND THIS NEW COLD
FRONT...BUT NOT EXPECTING EXTREME COLD LIKE WAS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED.
BY LATE IN THE FORECAST...TEMPS LOOK TO GRADUALLY WARM ABOVE NORMAL
BY NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
NO AVIATION CONCERNS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME SNOW SHOWERS PUSHING
IN FROM THE NORTH MAY CLIP A COUPLE OF THE WESTERN TERMINALS
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, BUT PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW TO
INCLUDE IN THE TAF'S. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT EXPECTED TO BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON, WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO
20 KNOTS. OTHERWISE, SKIES WILL BE SCT TO BKN OVERNIGHT, THEN BKN
TO OVC MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 37 24 51 35 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 46 25 62 44 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 42 27 57 38 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 42 25 57 42 / 0 0 0 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 39 24 54 40 / 0 0 0 10
MONTICELLO AR 43 27 59 45 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 45 27 59 44 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 40 21 54 34 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 33 21 46 34 / 10 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 41 25 56 41 / 0 0 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 43 24 58 40 / 0 0 0 10
SEARCY AR 37 21 52 35 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 36 24 51 40 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...77
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