310
FXUS64 KLZK 012324
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
524 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
-WARMING CONDTIONS EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY...WITH SOME CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS RETURNING TO THE FORECAST ON TUESDAY
-SLIGHT COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY MID-WEEK...BUT WILL BE
SHORT- LIVED AS WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY LATE THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
MOSTLY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE EARLY
THIS SUN MORNING AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE IS SETTLING ACROSS THE REGION.
A WEAK UPPER WAVE IS PASSING JUST WEST OF AR...WHICH IS CREATING
SOME CLOUD COVER AND POSSIBLY A FEW SCATTERED FLURRIES ACROSS FAR
WRN SECTIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. OTHERWISE...TEMPS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST
AREAS...WITH SOME SINGLE DIGIT LOWS POSSIBLE ACROSS NERN SECTIONS
WHERE CLOUDS WILL BE MORE LIMITED.
THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT SE BY SUN AFTERNOON...WITH A RETURN OF SRLY
FLOW. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPS TO BEGIN A WARMING TREND OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. FOR TODAY...TEMPS WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO MAYBE 15 DEG
WARMER THAN OBSERVED ON SAT...WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
THE SRLY SFC FLOW WILL PERSIST INTO TUE...WITH TEMPS EACH DAY
WARMING FURTHER. HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE 50S FOR MOST AREAS MON AND
TUE...WITH A FEW AREAS APPROACHING THE LOW 60S. THE SRLY FLOW WILL
ALSO ALLOW FOR SOME INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
UPPER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION ON TUE.
CHANCES FOR SHRA RETURN TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS UPPER WAVE...WITH
A NEW COLD FRONT PROGRESSING EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON TUE.
TEMPS WILL COOL BACK DOWN SOME FOR WED AND THU BEHIND THIS NEW COLD
FRONT...BUT NOT EXPECTING EXTREME COLD LIKE WAS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED.
BY LATE IN THE FORECAST...TEMPS LOOK TO GRADUALLY WARM ABOVE NORMAL
BY NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 521 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
NO MAJOR AVIATION CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THERE ARE SOME LOW END LLWS CONCERNS FOR MAINLY THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERLY TO
SOUTHERLY DIRECTION, WITH PERIODS OF VARIABILITY OVERNIGHT. FEW
TO BKN MID-LEVEL DECKS WILL CLEAR OUT BY THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WITH
SKC INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS TOMORROW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 24 51 32 49 / 0 0 0 40
CAMDEN AR 26 63 44 59 / 0 0 10 70
HARRISON AR 27 56 35 49 / 0 0 0 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 26 57 40 57 / 0 0 10 50
LITTLE ROCK AR 25 53 36 53 / 0 0 10 60
MONTICELLO AR 28 60 45 58 / 0 0 0 80
MOUNT IDA AR 27 60 41 58 / 0 0 10 40
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 22 52 32 47 / 0 0 0 20
NEWPORT AR 23 47 33 49 / 0 0 0 50
PINE BLUFF AR 25 57 39 55 / 0 0 10 70
RUSSELLVILLE AR 24 57 37 55 / 0 0 10 30
SEARCY AR 21 50 32 51 / 0 0 10 50
STUTTGART AR 25 52 37 52 / 0 0 0 60
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...77
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