608
FXUS64 KLZK 020742
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
142 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 142 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
-WARMING CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY...WITH SOME CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS RETURNING TO THE FORECAST ON TUESDAY
-SLIGHT COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY MID-WEEK...BUT WILL BE
SHORT- LIVED AS WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY LATE THIS WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 142 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
SRLY FLOW HAD STARTED RETURNING ACROSS THE STATE ON SUN...WHICH WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MON AND INTO PART OF TUE...ALLOWING FOR THE
WARMING TREND TO CONTINUE...AND MOISTURE LEVELS TO INCREASE. HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S...THOUGH SOME NERN AREAS MAY REMAIN
IN THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON. LOWS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING
FOR MOST AREAS.
A NEW UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE REGION ON TUE...WITH
THE APPROACH OF A NEW COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL DROP SE THROUGH
THE STATE BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON ON TUE. ALONG/AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT...SOME INCREASED CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE SEEN...MAINLY ACROSS
THE SERN HALF/TWO-THIRDS OF THE STATE. BEST POPS WILL BE ACROSS SERN
SECTIONS TUE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED AS
DEEP MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE LIMITED. QPF ESTIMATES LOOK TO REMAIN
LESS THAN A HALF INCH...WITH THE HEAVIER PRECIP FALLING ACROSS FAR
SERN SECTIONS.
COOLER AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA BRIEFLY FOR WED...BUT SRLY
FLOW WILL RETURN BY THU. WARMER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN AGAIN FOR
THU...AND UPPER RIDGING WILL DEVELOP BY THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR MORE PERSISTENT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1009 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTH TO VARIABLE WINDS WILL BE SEEN OVERNIGHT
INTO MON MORNING BEFORE SRLY/SWRLY FLOW INCREASES SOME BY MIDDAY
MON. OTHERWISE...ONLY SOME MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH DOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 52 35 53 27 / 0 0 40 0
CAMDEN AR 64 44 59 31 / 0 20 80 10
HARRISON AR 56 37 48 25 / 0 10 10 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 57 41 57 30 / 0 20 50 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 53 38 54 30 / 0 10 60 0
MONTICELLO AR 61 44 58 33 / 0 0 90 10
MOUNT IDA AR 60 43 58 30 / 0 20 50 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 53 33 49 25 / 0 0 10 0
NEWPORT AR 47 33 50 27 / 0 0 50 0
PINE BLUFF AR 55 40 55 31 / 0 10 80 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 58 38 57 29 / 0 10 20 0
SEARCY AR 52 33 54 27 / 0 10 50 0
STUTTGART AR 51 38 52 30 / 0 0 70 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62
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