561  
FXUS64 KLZK 151126  
AFDLZK  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
526 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026  
 
-CONTINUED LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH EARLY  
SUNDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF THE STATE.  
 
-PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE EARLY  
SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
-DRYING OUT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH  
EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026  
 
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO  
TRACK ACROSS THE STATE BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS  
OVER MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY  
MORNING. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY COME TO AN END DURING THE  
MORNING HOURS SUNDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO TRACK  
TOWARDS THE EAST.  
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH  
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS. EVEN THOUGH HEAVY RAIN  
FELL MUCH OF SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE STATE,  
RECENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY KEEP THE CHANCE OF ANY  
FLOODING CONCERNS LOW AT THIS TIME. ALSO, PATCHY FOG WILL BE  
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM PROMOTING MOSTLY CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS. THIS  
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT THE LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE  
UPCOMING WEEK.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH  
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S  
TO LOWER 70S FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 523 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026  
 
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING RAIN TO THE STATE CONTINUES TO  
PUSH OFF TOWARDS THE EAST. LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE IMPROVING TO MVFR  
AND VFR CONDITIONS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS VIS AND CIGS IMPROVE.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
BATESVILLE AR 62 40 64 46 / 40 0 0 0  
CAMDEN AR 66 41 68 47 / 50 0 0 0  
HARRISON AR 62 40 70 48 / 10 0 0 0  
HOT SPRINGS AR 66 41 65 46 / 20 0 0 0  
LITTLE ROCK AR 63 41 65 47 / 50 0 0 0  
MONTICELLO AR 64 45 68 50 / 80 0 0 0  
MOUNT IDA AR 67 40 68 47 / 10 0 0 0  
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 63 37 68 46 / 10 0 0 0  
NEWPORT AR 60 41 61 48 / 60 0 0 0  
PINE BLUFF AR 63 42 66 48 / 70 0 0 0  
RUSSELLVILLE AR 67 40 68 46 / 10 0 0 0  
SEARCY AR 62 39 64 44 / 60 0 0 0  
STUTTGART AR 61 43 63 49 / 70 0 0 0  
 

 
   
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...73  
AVIATION...73  
 
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