612
FXUS64 KLZK 160541
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1141 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
-CONTINUED LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF THE STATE.
-PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.
-DRYING OUT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
TRACK ACROSS THE STATE BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
OVER MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY COME TO AN END DURING THE
MORNING HOURS SUNDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO TRACK
TOWARDS THE EAST.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS. EVEN THOUGH HEAVY RAIN
FELL MUCH OF SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE STATE,
RECENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY KEEP THE CHANCE OF ANY
FLOODING CONCERNS LOW AT THIS TIME. ALSO, PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PROMOTING MOSTLY CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS. THIS
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT THE LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
VSBY IS EXPECTED TO LOWER ACROSS MOST TERMINALS IN EXCESS OF LIFR
FLIGHT CATEGORY BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND LASTING
THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING AS DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE STATE. ALL SITES WILL RETURN TO VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY LATE MONDAY MORNING AS FOG WILL DISSIPATE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 62 39 66 47 / 40 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 65 41 68 47 / 60 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 64 40 69 47 / 10 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 62 41 66 46 / 20 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 60 41 66 47 / 50 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 59 44 69 50 / 90 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 63 40 69 47 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 63 37 68 45 / 10 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 57 39 61 47 / 70 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 57 40 66 47 / 80 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 66 39 68 45 / 10 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 60 38 65 44 / 60 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 54 41 63 48 / 80 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR ARZ006>008-014>017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121>123-130-137-138-
140-141-222-223-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...77
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